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  <id>tag:www.thedonovan.com,2010://1/tag:www.thedonovan.com,2008://1.9438-</id>
  <updated>2010-01-21T15:57:43Z</updated>
  <title>Comments for H&amp;I Fires 8 July, 2008</title>
  <subtitle>We&apos;re the Military and Airpower Guys of Jonah Goldberg of National Review Online + a stray we found wandering around looking lost.  All original material JHD, BHD, JR, WT,  and KA 2003-2010</subtitle>
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    <id>tag:www.thedonovan.com,2008://1.9438</id>
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    <published>2008-07-09T04:38:06Z</published>
    <updated>2008-07-09T13:59:32Z</updated>
    <title>H&amp;I Fires 8 July, 2008</title>
    <summary><![CDATA[Open post for those with something to share, updated through the day. New, complete posts come in below this one. Note: If trackbacking, please acknowledge this post in your post. That's only polite.
********************************

                                         Oil drops sharply as supply worries subside
That's after a the mixed signals from Iran about the continued negotiations underway and the possible climb down to some previous comments about *gasp* Iran blocking the Hormuz Straits if attacked.&nbsp; Iran is considering negotiating, but saying they are not going to negotiate.&nbsp; Hey!&nbsp; Is Obama running Iran?

                                         U.S. holds navy exercise after Iran comments on Gulf
The Navy (with a capital "N") said Iran will not be allowed to block the Hormuz Straits.

                                         Iran stages war games, rejects nuclear demand
Of course, that last announcement happened late in the day when trading was closing in the US, so I imagine that tomorrow will see oil prices back on the rise.&nbsp; What I find interesting is all the that military parading around that they call "war games".&nbsp; These are really quite small affairs and rarely includes large scale mobilization.&nbsp; At least compared to the US version of "war games".&nbsp; Further, most of the equipment they show is old, though they splash some new paint, add a component and call it new.&nbsp; Further, Iran has limited gas refinement capabilities, depending largely on re-importing the gasoline product after exporting the oil.&nbsp; They have limited, if any, "reserves" already pumped.&nbsp; 

The most dangerous weapon that Iran has is not its technology, but the number of men in its forces.&nbsp; Then that comes down to, who is loyal and who is not.&nbsp; 

Just in the nick of time, the US Department of Interior jumps in to support the "drill here, drill now" call by stating, yes, indeed, the US could be producing much oil within the continental US and its surrounding waters.&nbsp; The department calls on Congress to lift the ban.&nbsp; -Kat********************************

A must-read:  "The Ultimate War Simulation Game" (h/t Jimbo) - FbL
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    <author>
      <name>Denizens</name>
      <uri>http://www.thedonovan.com</uri>
    </author>
    
    <category term="General Commentary" />
    
    <content type="html" xml:lang="en" xml:base="http://www.thedonovan.com/">
      <![CDATA[<em>Open post for those with something to share, updated through the day. New, complete posts come in below this one. Note: If trackbacking, please acknowledge this post in your post. That's only polite.</em><br />
********************************<br />
<br />
<h1><a href="http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20080707/ap_on_bi_ge/oil_prices"><span style="font-size: medium;"><strong>                                         Oil drops sharply as supply worries subside</strong></span></a></h1>
That's after a the mixed signals from Iran about the continued negotiations underway and the possible climb down to some previous comments about *gasp* Iran blocking the Hormuz Straits if attacked.&nbsp; Iran is considering negotiating, but saying they are not going to negotiate.&nbsp; Hey!&nbsp; Is Obama running Iran?<br />
<br />
<h1><a href="http://news.yahoo.com/s/nm/20080707/ts_nm/gulf_usa_iran_dc;_ylt=AqDa56G02AYGpA71dMEVQ5Rg.3QA"><span style="font-size: medium;">                                         U.S. holds navy exercise after Iran comments on Gulf</span></a></h1>
The Navy (with a capital "N") said Iran will not be allowed to block the Hormuz Straits.<br />
<br />
<h1><a href="http://news.yahoo.com/s/nm/20080707/ts_nm/iran_nuclear_dc"><span style="font-size: medium;">                                         Iran stages war games, rejects nuclear demand</span></a></h1>
Of course, that last announcement happened late in the day when trading was closing in the US, so I imagine that tomorrow will see oil prices back on the rise.&nbsp; What I find interesting is all the that military parading around that they call "war games".&nbsp; These are really quite small affairs and rarely includes large scale mobilization.&nbsp; At least compared to the US version of "war games".&nbsp; Further, most of the equipment they show is old, though they splash some new paint, add a component and call it new.&nbsp; Further, Iran has limited gas refinement capabilities, depending largely on re-importing the gasoline product after exporting the oil.&nbsp; They have limited, if any, "reserves" already pumped.&nbsp; <br />
<br />
The most dangerous weapon that Iran has is not its technology, but the number of men in its forces.&nbsp; Then that comes down to, who is loyal and who is not.&nbsp; <br />
<br />
Just in the nick of time, the US Department of Interior jumps in to support the "drill here, drill now" call by stating, <a href="http://news.yahoo.com/s/nm/20080707/ts_nm/usa_drilling_dc;_ylt=AtkjEs9Jc4iYl6O2I1CqqQFg.3QA"><strong>yes, indeed, the US could be producing much oil within the continental US and its surrounding waters.</strong></a>&nbsp; The department calls on Congress to lift the ban.&nbsp; -Kat<br /><br />********************************<br />
<br />
A must-read:  "<a href="http://www.cracked.com/article_15660_ultimate-war-simulation-game.html">The Ultimate War Simulation Game</a>" (h/t <a href="http://www.blackfive.net/main/2008/07/greatest-wargam.html">Jimbo</a>) - FbL<br />
<br />********************************<br />]]>
      <![CDATA[<em>*A term of art from the artillery. Harassment and Interdiction Fires. Back in the day, when you could just kill people and break things without a note from a lawyer, they were pre-planned, but to the enemy, random, fires at known gathering points, road junctions, Main Supply Routes, assembly areas, etc - to keep the bad guy nervous that the world around him might start exploding at any minute. Not really relevant to today's operating environment, right? But, it *is*. The UAVs we fly over Afghanistan and Pakistan looking for targets of opportunity are a form of H&amp;I fires, if you really want to parse it finely. We just have better sensors and fire control now. Of course, now I have to call them UAS's, because someone got a Legion of Merit for the name change.Anyway, I call the post H&amp;I Fires because it's random things posted by me and people I've given posting privileges to that particular topic. Another term of art that might be appropriate is Free Fire Zone.</em>]]>
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  <entry>
    <id>tag:www.thedonovan.com,2008://1.9438-comment:75174</id>
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    <title>Comment from Grumpy on 2008-07-09</title>
    <author>
        <name>Grumpy</name>
        
    </author>
    <content type="html" xml:lang="en" xml:base="">
        <![CDATA[Kat, you talk of more drilling within CONUS and surrounding waters as a target area. Our real ultimate long-term goal should be cutting our dependence on oil, foreign or domestic. Let me be honest, in my view, this will be a very long tough haul for this Nation. There will be drastic changes in our lifestyle, but the alternative will be worse. The real question becomes, How much domestically produced oil is being used in THIS Country? How much Alaskan oil coming from the Port of Valdez is being used in this Country? Hint, &nbsp;The answer on the Alaska oil is NONE. There are wells in the &quot;target area&quot; which have been drilled and then capped. There is no argument, we have refining issues, which need to be solved if we are going to stay on an oil based economy, foreign or domestic. Will the price of oil ever go down? In my view, we are never &nbsp;going to see the prices go down. The really hard thing to understand is how much dependence we have on oil. Take a look at the whole petrochemical industry. We will also find our dependence on plastics, man-made fabrics and fertilizers will need to be cut, until we can find alternatives, because of cost.<br />
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    </content>
    <published>2008-07-09T20:44:46Z</published>
    <updated>2008-07-09T20:44:46Z</updated>
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