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October 20, 2007

H&I* Fires, 20 OCT 2007

Open post for those with something to share, updated through the day. New, complete posts come in below this one. Note: If trackbacking, please acknowledge this post in your post. That's only polite.

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Okay, here's a Whatziss? for ya... CAPT H might even play in this one.

whatzis.JPG

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As someone who has been in the nuke weapons business - the laxity in standards revealed in this story was literally stun-me-mute. Back in my day, mishandling a tool, as in passing it *over* a weapon vice *under* or around - was grounds for immediate decertification. There wasn't any rocket science, really - but there was *meticulous* attention to detail and procedure. I once drew and locked my weapon on a General Officer because he wasn't on my access roster, nor was he accompanied by someone who could vouch him into my exclusion area. And I did not get in trouble for it. To this day I don't know if it was a test or a simple mistake on the part of the General. (Word to the wise, if the Armorer says, "No, you can't enter here, sir, you're not on my roster nor are you accompanied by anyone who can vouch you in." he means it.)

WASHINGTON (AP) - The Air Force said Friday it has punished 70 airmen involved in the accidental, cross-country flight of a nuclear-armed B-52 bomber following an investigation that found widespread disregard for the rules on handling such munitions.

"There has been an erosion of adherence to weapons-handling standards at Minot Air Force Base and Barksdale Air Force Base," said Maj. Gen. Richard Newton, the Air Force deputy chief of staff for operations.

The thing that simply stunned the little Nuke Weapons Fraternity at the place I'm currently doing some work was this:

Newton was announcing the results of a six-week probe into the Aug. 29-30 incident in which the B-52 was inadvertently armed with six nuclear-tipped cruise missiles and flown from Minot in North Dakota to Barksdale in Louisiana without anyone noticing the mistake for more than a day.

Emphasis mine. To us, it was simply incomprehensible. But wait! There's more!

A main reason for the error was that crews had decided not to follow a complex schedule under which the status of the missiles is tracked while they are disarmed, loaded, moved and so on, one official said on condition of anonymity because he was not authorized to speak on the record.

The airmen replaced the schedule with their own "informal" system, he said, though he didn't say why they did that nor how long they had been doing it their own way.

Again, emphasis mine. Now the initial reporting was histrionic. We spent *decades* with aircraft overhead carrying nukes. That wasn't the story - though that seemed how it got spun.

The story is that weapons were loaded that weren't supposed to be - and that no one noticed (or at least reported that they noticed) for over a day.

That is simply mind-boggling if you grew up in the nuke business when I did. There is a *serious* service culture problem represented in this story. One I'm sure the Air Force is working feverishly to fix. Keep you eyes on the ball, gents. Or in this case - the bombs.

Simply amazing. -the Armorer

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Madame Speaker spanks Stark. Heh. How sad that passions have so over-ridden judgement in the people who are sent to govern. One wishes they could find their adult pants. "Inappropriate" Madame Speaker? Surely a stronger word would fit. Of course, we wouldn't want you dipping into Representative Stark's vocabulary and oratorical style... -the Armorer

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by Denizens on Oct 20, 2007 | General Commentary

More military justice news.

Legal affairs seem to be the order of the day around here of late.

Lance Corporal Tatum and Lieutenant Colonel Chessani are going to stand trial over Haditha.

Lance Cpl. Stephen B. Tatum, was ordered to face a court-martial on charges of involuntary manslaughter, reckless endangerment and aggravated assault. He is one of four Marines originally charged with murder in the killings.

The decision by Lt. Gen. James Mattis to send Tatum to court-martial comes after the investigating officer said last month that the evidence was too weak to prosecute him. But Tatum will not be tried on the murder count he originally faced.

Tatum, of Edmond, Okla., shot and killed civilians, but "he did so because of his training and the circumstances he was placed in, not to exact revenge and commit murder," Lt. Col. Paul Ware wrote last month in recommending he not face court-martial.

Lieutenant Colonel Chessani is facing the charges for Haditha that I think Colonel Karpinski should have faced for Abu Ghraib:

Lt. Col. Jeffrey R. Chessani faces charges of dereliction of duty and violation of a lawful order on allegations that he mishandled the aftermath of the Nov. 19, 2005, shootings, which followed a roadside bombing that killed a Marine driver.

Not surprisingly, Chessani's defense attorney is not happy:

Chessani's civilian defense attorney, Brian Rooney, told The Associated Press he was disappointed with the general's recommendation.

"I can tell you this decision by Gen. Mattis today is going to have a negative affect on all officers, including battalion commanders," he said, adding it would undermine the trust between commanders and their troops. "Are they going to be able to trust the word of their junior officers, senior enlisted and junior enlisted?"

I disagree with him, but admittedly from the safety of knowing I'm never going to be in the position Chessani found himself in. I think the net effect will at most be that commanders are more careful in that type of investigation - if for no other reason than because their JAGs will pressure them to be. That said, what a different story has emerged in the time since Representative Murtha used the event to slag his Corps. First Rule of Combat: The First Report Is Always Wrong. One reason (after having been burned myself in my blogging) that I don't always jump right on to something when it occurs. Part and parcel of why I won't be a Big Pundit, either. Because no one pays for sober analysis two weeks after the fact, they pay for Screaming Headline and Moralistic Posturing Right Now. Okay, I can sometime get caught up in the whole moralistic posturing thing.

There is an error in the article, since we're here. Chelsea Carter asserts...

He is the second colonel to be court-martialed over actions in Iraq. Army Lt. Col. Steven L. Jordan of Fredericksburg, Va., was convicted of abusing detainees at Abu Ghraib prison, said Tom Umberg, a retired Army colonel and former military prosecutor

That would be the third. As mentioned in this space yesterday, there is the case of LTC Steele and what MajMike terms, the 'ham sandwich."

Moving on to the other bit of legal news... there is the courtsmartial of Staff Sergeant Alberto Martinez for the 2005 fragging of Captain Philip Esposito and 1st Lieutenant Louis Allen.

The first and last paragraphs of the article frame things nicely.

FORT BRAGG, N.C. - Before leaving for Iraq, an Army supply sergeant charged with killing two of his superior officers had a heated argument with his company commander, a West Point graduate who brought an active duty sense to urgency to their relaxed National Guard unit, colleagues of both men said Friday.

....


"There were soldiers who weren't happy with the command at all, a lot," Rodriguez testified. "He was your typical active duty captain. When he spoke, he expected it to be done."

There is a *lot* of unit culture wrapped up in that statement.

H/t, NetBrad.

Reporting As Ordered, Sir! �

by John on Oct 20, 2007 | Observations on things Military

October 19, 2007

H&I* Fires, 19 OCT 2007

Open post for those with something to share, updated through the day. New, complete posts come in below this one. Note: If trackbacking, please acknowledge this post in your post. That's only polite.

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Remember LTC Steele? The commander of Camp Cropper, who was busted for aiding the enemy, mishandling classified documents, and an "improper relationship with an Iraqi interpreter?"

I opined then that it was most likely a "small brain" issue.

His trial is over, and he was convicted on three of the four charges. He was not convicted of aiding the enemy. Good. The rest appears to be bad judgement and sloppiness, but the way the article is written, it's not definitive about the small brain - but it certainly leads one down that path. Anybody with more info, do please offer it up! -the Armorer

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Former Chairman, Joint Chiefs of Staff Passes Away, Admiral William Crowe.....Maggie
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BCR and Jeff both sent links to this story about a violation of the First Law of Robotics. Since I'm currently doing some work with armed robots... I have an interest, but no opinions. -the Armorer

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Canadian news organizations and academic institutions just teamed up with a polling firm to conduct an opinion survey in Afghanistan. Not on Afghanistan, but in Afghanistan, which provides us with a fairly decent measure of how the hearts & minds campaign is going. I've parsed it at The Torch.

The first thing I realized is that Afghans are far more positive about our chances for success there than Canadians are! And Americans too, come to think of it...

You'll also note I've linked to a 2006 survey of Afghan opinion by the Asia Foundation that shows we're making modest progress in the forum of public opinion in the country. - Damian

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by Denizens on Oct 19, 2007 | General Commentary

Boyda's letter for constituents regarding the Armenian Genocide Resolution.

Thank you for contacting me regarding H. Res. 106, the Armenian Genocide Resolution. I appreciate hearing from you on this matter.

The thought of purposely killing others on a mass scale because of their race, religion or ethnicity is simply horrific. We’ve seen the worst of humanity in World War II, in Bosnia and Kosovo in the 1990s and today in Darfur.

The resolution requests the President to “accurately characterize the systematic and deliberate annihilation of 1,500,000 Armenians as genocide and to recall the proud history of United States intervention in opposition to the Armenian Genocide.” However, Turks strongly reject the genocide label, insisting there was no organized campaign against the Armenians and that many Turks also died in the chaos and violence of the period.

Both Armenia and Turkey have a dialogue to establish a joint commission to examine the events of the time and possibly other issues. This resolution could result in this dialogue ending.

Turkey is an important ally for U.S. military operations in Iraq and Afghanistan. The U.S. uses Incirlik Air Base for operations to deliver over half of the cargo flown into Iraq and Afghanistan. Additionally, Turkey’s diplomatic future is at an unprecedented crossroad. Turkey is the only majority-Islamic country in the Middle East that is a democracy. It is in our best interests to continue to support the democratic ideals that have been a hallmark of modern Turkey.

While the resolution is well-intentioned, the recent actions by the House Foreign Affairs Committee are counterproductive to relations between the United States and Turkey. The Turkish government has temporarily recalled its Ambassador to the United States. While not directly related, the Turkish government has indicated that it may take military action against ethnic Kurds inside northern Iraq, potentially fracturing a relatively peaceful area in Iraq.

I sent a letter to the Speaker that bringing H. Res. 106 to the floor would be a step in the wrong direction for our national security. I will encourage my colleagues to do the same and to vote against the resolution should it come for a vote before the House of Representatives.

Thank you again for contacting me on this important issue. As your representative, I truly value your input and I hope you will continue to keep in touch in the future.

Oddly enough, I *didn't* get a copy of the letter Representative Boyda sent to Madame Speaker.

I think my Representative is representative of my views on this subject, if we still have some substantial disagreements on some issues surrounding the war.

Reporting As Ordered, Sir! �

by John on Oct 19, 2007 | Politics

Yanno, when I travel...

I miss my babies.

Webley .25 auto, captured from a German in Normandy, who captured it from a Brit Royal Marine at Dieppe

Like this Webley .25 auto, captured from a German in Normandy, who captured it from a Brit Royal Marine at Dieppe.

I miss SWWBO and the critters too, mind you.

Reporting As Ordered, Sir! �

by John on Oct 19, 2007 | Pistols

A public demo of someone who has completely lost his mind...

Off to DEN tonight, but I couldn't resist posting the gem linked below.

This one takes the cake (for today at least)...

Holy Moly. Does the legal term, "fighting words" mean anything to the Left anymore? And then there's the comments section...

Sheesh. -Instapilot

H/T to El Rushbo

[Armorer's note: Dusty originally put this up late last night. Since most readers have hit the page by the time he put it up, and when they come back they start at the bottom of the new day, I decided to move this up so it would get a more fulsome exposure. ]

Reporting As Ordered, Sir! �

by Dusty on Oct 19, 2007 | Politicians Hit Bottom, Dig...

At least they have separate mascots…


The commandant of the Marine Corps stated the Marine Corps right now cannot do the things they are asked of to support expeditionary warfare because they are tasked elsewhere in Global War on Terror, but they will when they can.

Additionally, General Conway stated that the Marine Corps is becoming “Too Heavy” during the Sea Power Symposium at the Naval War College. He stated the Service is becoming like the Army.

"We have been operating along side them, intertwined with them, really over the last four, arguably, the last five years. That is a good thing, but in some regards it also has its negatives because we have grown heavier than ever before," he said.

Conway delivered his remarks during the roll-out of the much anticipated maritime strategy, the Navy, Marine Corps' and Coast Guard's vision for how the three services will operate in the changing global environment, interact with each other and with allies.

"We are an expeditionary force by our nature. We go down to the sea in ships. But right now we are very much taking on the profile of a second land Army," Conway said. "We have to go through what I call an expeditionary filter, when we come out of there, to get back to a lighter, faster more hard-hitting kind of capability that is deployable aboard our nation's ships. That is a necessary filter I think we will have to endure."


I think he is dead on. If everyone is super, than no one is! The Army and the Marines are and should be two distinct services with distinct missions.

MTH


Reporting As Ordered, Sir! �

by Mr. T's Haircut on Oct 19, 2007 | Observations on things Military

October 18, 2007

This time, we lose a thread in the woof of the fabric of the Greatest Generation.

Lightning rarely strikes twice in the same place this close together.

Two weeks ago, longtime buddy, regular reader, and frequent commenter Mike Lehnherr lost his father.

Today, he lost his mother, who just needed to be with her Elden and her God.

The music may be a little different, but now is the time at Castle Argghhh! when we dance: In Memoriam, for Miriam Lehnherr, Mike's mom

As Mike is wont to say, Kyrie Eleison.

Reporting As Ordered, Sir! �

by John on Oct 18, 2007 | Something for the Soul

H&I* Fires, 18 OCT 2007

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Oy - On The Unbearable Lightness Of.... Clueless.

JTG Sends:

"Ma'am, please get out of the vehicle."

"Do you mind? I'm on the phone."

God bless the police officer with the patience to carry on that conversation for 90 seconds without tazing the individual in question and dragging her out of the car in a semi-conscious state.

Not only do you want to click *this link* you want to click the link in the linked post. And watch the video. Be careful with them cell phones, kiddles. They do *baaaaaad things* to your attention span. I feel most sorry for the Engineer, all things considered.

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Kevin sends:

Damned surge is putting these folks outa work! Where is the compassion? The job training? Heck, what about job security? What's Pelosi gonna do about this outrage?! I'm sure there is an aid bill being crafted somewhere...

Darn those unintended consequences, anyway. There is no news from Iraq that cannot be twisted negatively, if you try hard enough. This one is worthy of the NYT, though it's from McClatchy.

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I first saw this video last week, when Mike D sent it along. Being focused on the targets - I missed the aspect of "The Luckiest Dog In Iraq." I guess from puppykind's POV, al-Qaeda dislike of dogs (resulting in dogs not rushing up to say hello and get in a little friendly sniffing) has a definite upside. Situation Awareness Warning - while it's black and white thermal imaging, it's combat video and not for the squeamish, or places where there are people who might be offended. Turn your volume down, too. H/t, Military.com so that I didn't have to host the video, too.

UPDATE: The truth will out --

Now I can haz cookie?

Heh. --Bill
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The Navy published the new Maritime Strategy this week. Ustabe I'd slap that thing up here and bloviate in an uninformed-but-interested way. When I realized that was equivalent to the NYT editorial approach, I decided I'd let experts do it and just link to them. Now that we have a resident sailor on staff, and we're buds with CDR Salamander, we'll let them take it away... The Haircut sez...

Phib,

Concur exactly. Read it last night with a single malt and a stogie.

I am not impressed. Lots of happy talk and references to transnationalists and stateless actors. (Sounds like an episode of "24")

Not worthy of our nation. Not worthy indeed. No recognition of a threat only "oppportunity". Worthless drivel. No direction and more with less.

Got to the meat at the end. NECC, Brownwater Navy, MCAG and ASW was my take away.

Will direct fire on the blog next week.

Thanks for the peek up the dress.

Haircut

Get the 'Phibian's take here - and perhaps the Haircut will share views with us, and not just fiddle around at 'Phibian's place...

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Ah, being in a TOC again, spider in the web, playing Battle Captain and Effects Guy. Of course, blogging suffers. I've had to forgo a bunch of conference calls on veteran's issues. But then there is some compensation, like driving back to the hotel, motoring past the range where the Strykers are sending rounds downrange with a mortar carrier right next to them hanging and dropping. All that was missing was some popcorn! Speaking of TOCs, I'd better head that way. -the Armorer

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by Denizens on Oct 18, 2007 | General Commentary

Promotions and Awards.

From the DoD email bag today:

First up - the story that wasn't fit for the NYT:

Navy Seal, Medal of Honor Recipient, to be Inducted Into the Hall of Heroes

The White House announced Thursday that Navy Lt. Michael P. Murphy will be posthumously awarded the Medal of Honor for his actions in combat June 27 to 28, 2005, while leading a special reconnaissance mission deep behind enemy lines in the Hindu Kush of Afghanistan.

President Bush is expected to present the Medal of Honor to Lt. Murphy's parents at a ceremony at the White House on Oct. 22, 2007. Media interested in covering this event should contact the White House Office of Media Affairs at (202) 456-5238.

Deputy Secretary of Defense Gordon England will induct Murphy into the Hall of Heroes at the Pentagon in a ceremony Oct. 23 at 11 a.m. EDT. The Pentagon ceremony will add his name to the roster in the Hall of Heroes, the Defense Department's permanent display of record for all recipients of the Medal of Honor. Media representatives who want to cover the Hall of Heroes induction ceremony on Oct. 23 may contact Navy public affairs at (703) 697-5342.

At 6 p.m. on the same day, Adm. Gary Roughead, chief of naval operations, will present the Medal of Honor flag to the parents of Lt. Murphy in a ceremony at the Navy Memorial. Congress ordered the creation of the Medal of Honor flag commemorating the sacrifice and blood shed for freedom. Media interested in attending this ceremony please call the Navy Memorial at (202) 380-0718.

Murphy is the first armed forces service member to receive the Medal of Honor for combat in Afghanistan in support of Operation Enduring Freedom. He is also the first Navy service member to receive the Medal of Honor for actions in the Global War on Terror and the third armed forces service member to receive the Medal of Honor since the beginning of Operations Enduring Freedom and Iraqi Freedom.

More information about Murphy's life and career can be found at http://www.navy.mil/moh/mmurphy/index.html .

On to living heroes.

1st Engineer Battalion's Staff Sergeant Gene Deleon (Bronze Star w/V) and Sergeant Norman Inch (Silver Star).

1st Engineer Battalion's Staff Sergeant Gene Deleon (Bronze Star w/V) and Sergeant Norman Inch (Silver Star).


How 'bout these hard chargers?

'DIEHARD' SOLDIERS RECEIVE SILVER, BRONZE STAR MEDALS

By Capt. Rebecca Walsh
1st Eng. Bn.

At a ceremony on Forward Operating Base Q West in Iraq, Sgt. Norman Inch was awarded a Silver Star for his actions while serving in Northern Iraq with the 1st Engineer Battalion "Diehards." The Silver Star is awarded for gallantry in action against an enemy of the United States.

Inch, a combat engineer, was conducting a routine route clearance mission when an improvised explosive device struck another vehicle in his patrol wounding four of his comrades and leaving them trapped inside the vehicle. Without hesitation, Inch and his team dismounted from their
vehicle, exposing themselves to enemy fire, as they moved to the disabled vehicle to provide aid to the wounded Soldiers. Faced with continuous small arms fire and the threat of around 30 armed insurgents approaching their location, Inch instructed his team to return fire at the approaching enemy, killing several of them. Upon arriving at the destroyed vehicle, Inch used his back to hold the heavily-armored, 300-pound door open for nearly 20 minutes as the four
wounded Soldiers were removed and carried to a protected area. Inch remained vigilant and continued to fire his weapon against approaching enemy forces despite the precarious position of the destroyed vehicle, continual exposure to enemy fire and his own physical efforts to keep
the door open.

Inch's squad leader, Staff Sgt. Gene Deleon was awarded a Bronze Star Medal with Valor Device for his actions during the same patrol. Deleon instantly began making complex tactical decisions once he learned the patrol leader had been wounded. He assessed the situation and maneuvered vehicles in his patrol to shield Inch's team from enemy fire as they extracted their comrades. Deleon coordinated air support and reinforcements, which allowed the patrol the ability to focus on caring for the wounded.

The actions of Inch and Deleon were admirable, but both noncommissioned officers said there were several heroes on patrol day and the combined efforts of each Soldier helped save the lives of four of their brothers.

Hooah!

Lastly, a promotion.

Army Col. Rhonda L. S. Cornum has been nominated for promotion to the grade of brigadier general. Cornum is currently serving as chief, Department of Surgery, Ireland Army Community Hospital, Fort Knox, Ky.

Congrats, Colonel. Name sound familiar? It should.

Reporting As Ordered, Sir! �

by John on Oct 18, 2007 | Observations on things Military

October 17, 2007

OPSEC: Obviously Nobody Knows What It Is

[Denizen Opinion - Kat]

Okay. Not really opinion, but apropos the Armorer's ongoing wry (not ry) humor over having his blog on the "examples" of op sec violators, I caught this little blog from Mudville's infamous Dawn Patrol: Nancy in Iraq.

No, she didn't violate op sec as far as I could tell (I'm a civilian, what do I know), but someone came along and said she did after she talked rather vaguely about getting mortared and how she would rather be laughed at by some folks for zealously putting her Kevlar helmet and "flak" jacket on than to be one of those people who doesn't and bites the big one.

Anony Mouse comes along in comments and says that she gave out too much info. A little commenting goes back and forth.

The long and short of it is that it is clear no one really understands what is or isn't "op sec" and how much the enemy knows, has had confirmed physically or can easily obtain through other open sources.

Check the blog and the comments.

What's Op Sec?

Does anyone actually know?

Then there is the NYT version of Op Sec. Op Sec? Screw'em.

Which sometimes makes you think Op Sec is a word we like to throw around so we can sound all James Bondish.

Reporting As Ordered, Sir! �

by Denizens on Oct 17, 2007 | Observations on things Military

IPB*, 17 OCT 2007

Turkish-US relations have been a bit strained the last few years. Here’s Juan Cole’s take on the matter, with a bit of a very condensed history of the importance of Turkey to the US. Seeing as how there’s the whole Armenian Holocaust vote, with attendant strategic concerns, it might be good to try and look at the whole picture before making up one's mind.
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This article about the Joint Urban Operations conference is a bit uneven at times, paranoid in some others, but it is showing that thought on how to fight effectively (which doesn’t just mean accruing body counts) in urban areas is being given serious thought. More importantly it points out exactly what portions of the political left fears the US will be doing in the future(more Iraqis rather than more Somalia’s or JTF-HOA, when both is the most likely answer, and more bloody images showing up on CNN proving to them that Imperialism and war are evil, evil, evil).

It might be worth explaining to the American public what the purpose of something like the JUO con is really about and why we should be spending time on this issue. Like, how do they think we should handle things, effectively and decisively, in Sudan or Myanmar without giving GEN Krulak’s Strategic Corporal all the mechanical tools he needs to make the right decision, at the right place, at the right moment in real time?

This flows out of interventionist policy(which means peacekeeping in Sudan and Myanmar as much as kicking in doors like Iraq and Afghanistan does) quite naturally, but I’m not sure people understand that.
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While ‘reconciliation’ seems a remote possibility according reportage in Iraq it seems possible in Afghanistan, and though it is would we want it anyway?
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It seems all the rage the last couple of years has been ‘metrics’, but is caution needed here with the issue of metrics and the meaning of numbers? Are we plunging head long into the old Twain saying, ‘There’s lies, damn lies, and then there’s statistics?’ Maybe there’s a sickness that continues to plaque us from the time when the military was made over in the mold of businesses with a bias toward quantitative thinking instead of qualitative?

Napoleon once said a man would gladly die for a fancy bit of ribbon, or words to that affect, but has the US Mil gone over board?

Somehow the two concepts tie together in this piece but you’ll have to read the whole thing to find out how. Take your tums first though.
--ry

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by Ryan on Oct 17, 2007 | General Commentary

Oh, Goody! Look what our government hath given us...

Lessee, we've got a resolution working to condemn the Armenian Genocide and coincidentally really piss off an admittedly inconstant ally who controls a major logistic path into Iraq, and who is contemplating... invading Iraq for their own purposes, which I'm sure General Petraeus is just thrilled about.

We've got Representative Waxman introducing H.Res. 734: Expressing the sense of the House of Representatives regarding the withholding of information relating to corruption in Iraq.

We've got the Dole-Shalala Commissioners doing a press conference where the President observed:

Today, President Bush discussed legislation Congress should pass and actions the Administration is taking to implement recommendations of the President's Commission on Care for America's Returning Wounded Warriors. In March, President Bush signed an Executive Order creating this bipartisan commission to conduct a comprehensive review of the services America is providing our returning wounded warriors. The Commission released its findings on July 25, 2007, and the President immediately instructed the Secretaries of Defense and Veterans Affairs to implement its recommendations.

Okey-dokey!

What we *don't* have?

From the Administration - a nominee to lead the VA through this revamping of the benefits system.

From the Congress: Any authorization to spend any new money - GET SOME SPENDING BILLS DONE! Then get to work on the enabling legislation to implement those aspects of the Commission findings that will require a legislative remedy.

But don't be sloppy and rush through it, either. So we get the hash we already have in veterans benefits and entitlements because of the way we've bandaided our way through things.

Just sayin'.

Reporting As Ordered, Sir! �

by John on Oct 17, 2007 | Politics

Earned Income Tax Credit and the Services.

The title of the bill seems a bit awkward... but I can support the thrust of the bill.

I'm still thinking a thorough revamp of the military compensation system and it's premises are probably in order - given how it's been tweaked and poked and prodded over the decades in response to changing military, political, economic and demographic realities.

WASHINGTON, D.C. – “It’s about time”, said Congresswoman Nancy Boyda (Kansas Second District) in a Tuesday morning press conference, when it comes to making permanent a tax relief for our military families. Boyda said eligibility for the Earned Income Tax Credit should NOT be temporary and has introduced a bill which will benefit thousands of military families, by expanding their eligibility for the tax relief.

Boyda has introduced the Tax Relief for Armed Combat Families Act of 2007, which will permanently expand the eligibility of military families to receive the Earned Income Tax Credit (EITC). The legislation will cut the taxes of over 150,000 military families across the United States, in some cases by thousands of dollars.

Congresswoman Boyda said, "Our military continues to serve with honor and distinction. Thousands of Kansas soldiers currently serve in the face of danger and under the burden of combat. They have done everything we have asked them to do. The last thing they need is to worry about paying higher taxes next year. Our country needs to put our arms around these soldiers and remove that concern. Congress should pass immediate, permanent tax relief for military families.”

The EITC was first enacted by Congress in 1975 to provide tax relief and supplemental income to low- and moderate-income families. Taxpayers whose earned income is less than an amount set by an eligibility formula – currently $36,348 for a married couple with two children – may receive tax credit or refund. Credits vary based on income and family size, ranging from less than $100 up to $4,536.

According to a 2005 Bell Policy Center study, at least 150,000 military families nationwide earn base incomes that qualify for the EITC, but their base wages are often supplemented by combat pay or certain other allowances or incentives. These special pays are generally not subject to taxation but do count as income for determining eligibility for programs like the EITC. As a result, many military families have, in the past, seen their EITC tax credit reduced or eliminated.

In 2001, Congress expanded EITC eligibility by permitting taxpayers to elect whether or not to include combat and other special pays in their earned income. The provision offered critical tax relief and support to military families, but under current law, it is set to expire on December 31, 2007.

“It’s time to stop temporary fixes”, said Congresswoman Boyda. “While I don’t understand the lack of previous, permanent action”, Boyda said, “ I am proud to be the one to say ‘thank you’ to our soldiers for their immense dedication, by introducing the Tax Relief for Armed Combat Families Act of 2007. This legislation will eliminate the sunset date and, finally, make permanent the expanded EITC eligibility.”

Reporting As Ordered, Sir! �

by John on Oct 17, 2007 | Observations on things Military | Politics

October 16, 2007

H&I* Fires, 16 OCT 2007

Open post for those with something to share, updated through the day. New, complete posts come in below this one. Note: If trackbacking, please acknowledge this post in your post. That's only polite.

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Denizen on Denizen conflict! Okay, more like playing field goal kicker at a business meeting with a paper triangle.

I’m probably losing, but it is an interesting argument ‘tween Alan (maple syrup swilling…) and I. Is Canada freer than the city of Syracuse, NY? If it is that Canada is freer than Syracuse why is that? Show your work for full credit (wait, am I using GenX40 humo(u)r at Castle Argghhh!? Is that allowed?).
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Does anyone remember Josh Rushing? Seems he’s doing fine working for al-Jazeera, and has produced a documentary about the AK-47 that’s caught the attention of the boys over at DefenseTech.
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Another one from D-Tech that should make more than a few around here happy: is the Army planning on a modern .45 cal sub-machine gun?
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Silly String for Soldiers. It has finally happened. Good for her. Marcelle Shriver, you rock.
--ry
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Heh. Gotta love them "I gotta be free to be me!" Baby Boomers. I disassociate myself from the label - I think the upper bound should be drawn with a bright line between those in the group that came of age with the draft - and put the rest of us who were not subject to the draft back with the Gen Xer's. Because in my personal experience, we're very different, politically. Oh, don't gimme those weak arguments about how the demographers make their choices.

Yet that is what Sacramento lawmakers -- the macho Schwarzenegger even -- have decided they have the right to do. My generation thought we'd be so tolerant and open to the different drummer. Yet we keep electing politicians who believe they have a right to dictate how other adults live. Busybody granny politicians treat adults -- whether they're 20 or 50 -- like children. Maybe they're right, because California voters let them do it.

Read Debbie Saunders here.

Bill JTG left this comment on a previous post:

I just did a Rule 34 search on Google and got 323 hits for the string,

Lanchester Operational Research porn.

Lanchester SMG pr0n - exposing the fiddly bits!

Heh. 'Round here, *this* is Lanchester pr0n. An expose' of the fiddly bits! -the Armorer

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Now hear this! Ry can have 120 experience points. That is all. -the Armorer

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Inexplicable political decisions... explained. I despair. -the Armorer

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Back from a short hiatus while I worked on things that will surely irritate the Code Pink lady from my local school district (project going along swimmingly with official announcements to come), I jump in full force with a "I told you so"...Monsieur Putin warns against any military action "in the Caspian region" as well as airs his displeasure at a possible oil pipeline from the "Caspian" region to the west, circumventing Russian control of energy resources to Europe.

Puty-Poot is concerned over the loss of revenues that war and a pipeline could inflict on his largely oil based economy. Not to mention the political pull he had over the Euros in Eur-Asian affairs and fun times in the Security Council over Iranian sanctions.

During his visit to Tehran Monday, Putin was quoted as saying about the Iranians:

"Threatening someone, in this case the Iranian leadership and Iranian people, will lead nowhere," Putin said Monday during his trip to Germany. "They are not afraid, believe me."

Which, of course, leads you to believe that everyone is afraid of what the crazy Americans will do. While Ahmadinejad has been trying to play the "I'm crazier than you" card and making threats about using his proxies to cause unrest, they know that the Americans will go war on a pretext. Just ask Saddam Hussein. Oh. You can't. He's dead.

In another laughable moment, the Iranians and Marxist try to get together to present a world wide Revolution against the Imperialist West and end up looking like idiots when Che's daughter, a devout Marxist, contradicts the Iranian line that Che was a man of God (like we didn't know he was a murdering, atheist, anarchist, but the Iranians failed to do their homework).

Aside from trying to remake Fidel and Che into God fearing men, the whole idea that these nations whose economies are based on a failed economic system, are going to overthrow the "world order" is pretty funny. This is based on the new leftist idea that Socialism (communism by another name in the south and with an Islamic twist in Iran) will work. It's just that the Russians didn't do it right. My favorite is the outright plagiarism of a known Reaganism:

"Today, communism has been consigned to the garbage can of history as foreseen by Imam Khomeini," Qassemi said

You know you want to laugh. If it wasn't for the Iranians and their nuclear plans, possibly creating a second "Cuban Missile Crisis" all over parts of South America (something Puty-Poot has to be thinking about while he delays the Bushehr plant completion indefinitely), these folks would just be laughable. Kind of reminds you of Baghdad Bob. Though I do wonder what Putin thought about all the Anti-USSR rhetoric prior to his arrival.

Moving on...

They caught Chester Stiles (Chester the Molester). That's great. And it appears he has a long rap sheet of criminal offenses, including known and alleged other assaults on little girls. Sadly, though, the AP continues to report that, according to the Ad, Chester has a Navy Seal background. I think this has been busted already. He's not and never has been a "Navy Seal".

Criminals are routinely claiming to have been one or the other of the biggest, baddest butt kickers in the military. It's how they impress or intimidate other weaker criminals or victims to shut up and go along with their crimes. When they are booked for other crimes, they often also give those fake details to the police. Commonly because they are afraid for their lives when they go into jail or prison. Police and prosecutors rarely check this information with the DoD or other resources because it is not pertinent to their case. Unfortunately, like this prosecutor, they also release that info to the press and end up smearing some good people.

Career criminals know that "trustees" (other criminals who are trusted to work in different areas) get that info reading their intake paperwork and spread it around to the general population. Child molesters would be high on the list of people needing some sort of rumor that they can kill with their bare hands in order to save themselves the inevitable assaults and possible murder by other inmates that are common for men of Chester's ilk in prison settings.

Anyone with the links or info on the "Chester not a Navy Seal" situation, leave it in comments and we'll pick it up.

Back to inter-national news, the press is finally reporting "Al Qaida in Iraq is Crippled", but don't count them out yet. They are still fighting off final destruction in the last remaining districts they can find sympathy (or, at least, fear) in. That and they are funneling people and money (what they can get) into Waziristan for attacks in Afghanistan and trying to whittle out a more secure enclave in what may be their final host nation.

These guys are like the guests you can never get to leave the party, drinks all the liquor, breaks your stuff, pees on your carpet, vomits in your washer machine and then passes out on your $3000 leather couch. The British apparently are insisting on bringing the party to an end.

You should also be reading the Tank for a good insight into the Lebanon/Syrian/Hezbollah situation. But also because of little gems like this one, if you missed it: Abdul Sattar's killer, lately captured, confesses to killing the Sunni Sheik heading up the Anbar Awakening. The best part that literally tells AQ's story in Iraq:


At the time al-Jumayli was apprehended, I pointed out that he was captured in Balad, near Diyala, and stated that he may have traveled there to celebrate. My source confirmed that this was indeed the purpose of his trip, but said that al-Qaeda's local emir was in far less of a celebratory mood: He feared the probable retaliation.

And he should because the Shi'ites and Sunni in Diyala have been banding together in their own version of the Awakening while Sadr's SCIRI rival, al Hakim, made a recent visit to al Anbar to promote reconciliation with the Sunni. Not to mention, since Sadr went rogue from the UIA alliance in parliament and the Sunni in Anbar are becoming politically important, everyone is chatting about possible new political alliances that will reshape Iraqi politics.

Sadr was reported as late last week making overtures to the Sunni Accord Front (largely related to the remaining Ba'athist insurgents) who are also disenchanted with Maliki's government and share Sadr's view that the Americans should "get out ASAP".

Which makes them Iraqi Democrats (in the party sense, not the politics) since the democrats over here keep insisting that the war is lost and we should withdraw immediately. Last week, Nancy Pelosi, who doesn't really like the nasty hippies camping out in her upscale neighborhood and freaking out the grand kids, was still trying to turn the anti-war folks off of their cannibalistic attacks on their favored party by telling them to work on GOP congress people to get them to "end the war".

Apparently, Nancy hasn't gotten the message that we are, in fact, ending the war in Iraq as quickly as possible. AQ's on the ropes and the Sunni/Shia civil war is just about nil. Of course, if it ends with "victory", Nancy and crew are going to have some "'splaining to do" come next elections.

Or not. Hillary is apparently becoming more hawkish than hawks on certain subjects. At least over seas where it matters less to her constituents who are about as divided as South Africa in the 80's. One thing about schizophrenic, two party politics, it keeps your enemies guessing. As noted above, only completely stupid Iranians would not be afraid of crazy Americans who talk rather loudly and tend to hit people with their big stick a lot more in the last two decades.

Speaking of possible hard nosed, sometimes irrational, always dangerous dictators, a book was recently released called "Letters to Hitler". I want to read it as many of the letters are here to unseen straight from the KGB archives and range from the gamut of adoring fans to official letters on the internal operations of the Nazi political and war machines. Of course, get it while its hot because it will probably sell like hotcakes in the middle east where Hitler is on par with such notables as Sayeed Qutb.
-Kat

Flash Traffic (extended entry) Follows... �

Reporting As Ordered, Sir! �

by Denizens on Oct 16, 2007 | General Commentary

Welcome Home, Sergeant Major

Retired U.S. Army Sgt. Maj. Brian Waters, formerly assigned to the 101st Airborne Division, is overcome with emotion as he visits The Moving Wall at Fort Concho National Historic Landmark in San Angelo, Texas, Oct. 12, 2007. The traveling, half-size replica of the Vietnam Veterans Memorial was built by veterans to bring the experience of the memorial to those who cannot travel to Washington, D.C., and has been touring the country for more than twenty years. DoD photo by Staff Sgt. Angela B. Malek, U.S.Air Force. (Released)

Retired U.S. Army Sgt. Maj. Brian Waters, formerly assigned to the 101st Airborne Division, is overcome with emotion as he visits The Moving Wall at Fort Concho National Historic Landmark in San Angelo, Texas, Oct. 12, 2007. The traveling, half-size replica of the Vietnam Veterans Memorial was built by veterans to bring the experience of the memorial to those who cannot travel to Washington, D.C., and has been touring the country for more than twenty years. DoD photo by Staff Sgt. Angela B. Malek, U.S.Air Force. (Released)

Gun Control By the Numbers

[Denizen Opinion -Kat Updated: how criminals get their guns]

The Armorer set off a "perfect blog storm" by posting about the updated bill that will, allegedly, "close a loop hole" in existing legislature that will stop mentally incompetent people from legally purchasing a gun. Someone in the comments section said that we would be better off shooting for a repeal of the original law than arguing about this little "fix" in the loop holes. A very good point.

It's unlikely the Brady Bill will ever be repealed. However, what is likely, as we have seen over the last two decades, is that additional legislation, ostensibly to tighten loopholes (the latest reflected by the Armorer's post) continues to be implemented when, in fact, the statistics do not actually support them. Including ban's on "assault rifles" (which was suitably vague enough in certain descriptions to effect many rifles that were not "assault" and was fortunately no re-newed), bans on magazines carrying more than 10 bullets or effect other aspects such as the attempt requiring trigger locks on weapons in homes with children (when, in fact, child mortality rates show death by firearms is as low as 2 in 100,000; the lowest of all causes of child mortality causes).

Why do we fight all of these small, individual acts tooth and nail even if they seem to be rational in conjunction to existing laws? Because each one is an erosion of rights that, even in the attempt to effect only those it would seem necessary, it invariably effects someone that it shouldn't. Worse, the legislation is also and often backed up with data taken out of context or, in the case of 1993 Brady Bill, inaccurate data coupled with a "fear mongering" media campaign.

(continued in flash traffic)

Flash Traffic (extended entry) Follows... �

by Denizens on Oct 16, 2007 | Gun Rights

H Res 106, the Armenian Genocide resolution.

When I first heard about this I immediately contacted Representative Boyda's staff with a "WTH, over?" And a list of possible consequences based on the Turkish response. When I found Ralph Peter's screed on the issue, I sent that along too.

This is fun.

Apparently a *lot* of Congresspeople signed on as co-sponsors without thinking it through - and some are now rushing to un-sponsor. The list of co-sponsors includes 61 Republicans.

Here's a link to Thomas, where you can take a look at the co-sponsors (to include the ones that are withdrawing their sponsorship).

I would note that Representative Boyda (D-KS2), my Representative, did *not* sign up for this. I don't claim that I got to her in time to stop her, for all I know (and it's completely possible, despite you doubters) that she had the good common sense to see it for the mistake it was back when it first came around.

I would note that Representative Moore (D-K3), Jim B's favorite villain, signed on as a co-sponsor but has since pulled his sponsorship. But, I will give him credit that he withdrew his co-sponsorship back in March, and not in reaction to the current events.

Nancy's staff called me (given my interest) to tell me about the people fleeing the resolution. Just to make sure everybody gets credit where it's due, I've included the list below the fold in the Flash Traffic/Extended Entry.

This is a nice little object lesson in how Congress works, with our Representatives signing on to things that sound nice without necessarily thinking through the consequences of the action. And there have been consequences already, just with the resolution clearing the committee, even though it's not yet come up for a vote.

And yes, I think guys like Ralph Peters, and the blogs, have had an impact on this.

Anyway - click the Flash Traffic button and see if your Representative is on the list - and if they are, they've had a change of heart.

Don't get me wrong - I firmly believe the Armenian Genocide happened (and the Kurds got screwed, too) and the pictures, taken by Armin Wegener, a German soldier stationed with the Turks at the time of event, eerily presage similar pictures coming from the Nazis and the Holocaust. It's been alleged that Hitler saw the world's reaction to the Armenian Genocide as instructive for his plans.

The time to condemn (and act, if we choose) is before, during or shortly after the event, not nearly a century later, and certainly not with the current geopolitical realities that beset us in the region. The Turks are clearly not ready to acknowledge anything, and have signaled their intent to react in ways that will make an already unstable situation even less stable.

Like it or not - this is simply not the time for this.

And no, I don't know when the time will be. But I do know that General Petraeus does not need to be dealing with a Turkish incursion into Iraq at the moment if he can avoid it, and he'd sure like to keep Turkish airspace open for logistical purposes. That's life in the real world.

Now to see how Madame Speaker deals with it. There is talk among the Democrats about sending her a letter asking her to not bring it to the floor. We'll see if that comes to fruition, should it be needful and Congresswoman Pelosi doesn't just decide that on her own, so to speak.

One can only hope.

Update: As Mr. T's Haircut noted in the comments (and I should have in the post) rather than fiddling with things like this... how 'bout a spending bill or two, or three, or so. The Power of the Purse - IIRC, that was to be the Congress' major tool...

Another thought. As Rich Lowry notes - perhaps this isn't just local politics (the large Armenian-American populations in Speaker Pelosi's district, for example) - perhaps this is just posing and posturing to set the example that by golly, the US Congress is serious about this stuff! And 85 years from now, already on the legislative docket, is the resolution condemning the Sudan for Darfur. Or something. Oh, wait - they already passed a resolution about Darfur, this year even, on June 6th, of all days. *That* has certainly helped the tens of thousands of people currently dying in Darfur. The Chinese just rushed in to help. So, I'm sure that passing this resolution, now, which could close the pipeline through which 95% of the MRAP vehicles pass to get to Iraq, will help all those dead Armenians, by making their children and grandchildren feel better about it all, and piss off an admittedly unsavory ally who has us by the short-hairs. We'll show them, by golly!

There is a reason, perhaps, the founders didn't put responsibility for foreign policy in the hands of the House, as it was the arm of government that was to represent the passions of the people, which aren't always a good basis for foreign policy.

Flash Traffic (extended entry) Follows... �

Reporting As Ordered, Sir! �

by John on Oct 16, 2007 | Politics

October 15, 2007

H&I* Fires, 15 OCT 2007

Open post for those with something to share, updated through the day. New, complete posts come in below this one. Note: If trackbacking, please acknowledge this post in your post. That's only polite.

You're advertising here, we should get an ad at your place...

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This is a fairly interesting blog fight between Mark Steyn, conservative blog The Brothers Judd, and Peter Robinson.

What I find truly odd is that their saying nobody has presented an equivalent to George Keenan’s ‘Containment Theory’ put forth in the ‘X-Article’. I've heard the evils of not immediately going after the Soviets many, many, many times before and I don't find it that interesting anymore.

I can think of two such strategic visions put forward: that of TPM Barnett in his book The Pentagon’s New Map and his blog; and that of John Robb at his blogs and in his book Brave New War.

To me, Barnett’s theory corresponds to Containment talking about winning thru growth and support of the nation state structure. JRobb pushes for a microstate solution that does not correspond well to the alternative to Containment, Rollback, but it is an alternative vision of how to proceed to victory in this Long War we’re currently in. But, then again, Armorer pays me in stale cheetos (You’re late on this month’s payment too!) so give my opinion whatever merit you think it is worth.
--
It looks like someone caught FuzzyB out on the town the other night.
--ry
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If you haven't read Hitchen's bit on his unease about unknowingly inspiring Lieutenant Mark Daily (KIA) to join the Army, you should. Not so much because of Hitch, but because of the picture gives us of Lieutenant Daily. Lieutenant Daily speaks to us from beyond the grave:

Anyone who knew me before I joined knows that I am quite aware and at times sympathetic to the arguments against the war in Iraq. If you think the only way a person could bring themselves to volunteer for this war is through sheer desperation or blind obedience then consider me the exception (though there are countless like me).… Consider that there are 19 year old soldiers from the Midwest who have never touched a college campus or a protest who have done more to uphold the universal legitimacy of representative government and individual rights by placing themselves between Iraqi voting lines and homicidal religious fanatics.
I was having a conversation with a Kurdish man in the city of Dahok (by myself and completely safe) discussing whether or not the insurgents could be viewed as "freedom fighters" or "misguided anti-capitalists." Shaking his head as I attempted to articulate what can only be described as pathetic apologetics, he cut me off and said "the difference between insurgents and American soldiers is that they get paid to take life—to murder, and you get paid to save lives." He looked at me in such a way that made me feel like he was looking through me, into all the moral insecurity that living in a free nation will instill in you. He "oversimplified" the issue, or at least that is what college professors would accuse him of doing.

And you should read it for what Hitch has to say:

...I became a trifle choked up after that, but everybody else also managed to speak, often reading poems of their own composition, and as the day ebbed in a blaze of glory over the ocean, I thought, Well, here we are to perform the last honors for a warrior and hero, and there are no hysterical ululations, no shrieks for revenge, no insults hurled at the enemy, no firing into the air or bogus hysterics. Instead, an honest, brave, modest family is doing its private best. I hope no fanatical fool could ever mistake this for weakness. It is, instead, a very particular kind of strength. If America can spontaneously produce young men like Mark, and occasions like this one, it has a real homeland security instead of a bureaucratic one. To borrow some words of George Orwell's when he first saw revolutionary Barcelona, "I recognized it immediately as a state of affairs worth fighting for."

Go. Read. Ponder.

Now is the time at Castle Argghhh! when we dance: In Memoriam. -the Armorer

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CAPT H sends his this obit of an extraordinary man, Flight Lieutenant Bill Goldfinch.

Flight Lieutenant Bill Goldfinch, who died on October 2 aged 91, designed the glider built in the eaves of Colditz Castle, as part of the most audacious of all the projected escapes from the Second World War's most famous prison camp.

Indeed.

Now is the time at Castle Argghhh! when we dance, in Commonwealth style: In Memoriam. -the Armorer

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Canada is taking a "slow and steady wins the race" sort of approach to development in Afghanistan, focusing on capacity-building rather than quick-impact projects. I wonder if the balance we've struck is the right one, and whether we need to start putting out shiny reconstruction baubles for the masses to oooh and ahhh at, so that the populations of both Afghanistan and Canada are distracted enough to give the capacity-building effort the time it will require to succeed. - Damian

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Flash Traffic (extended entry) Follows... �

by Denizens on Oct 15, 2007 | General Commentary

Lanchester, use and abuse thereof.

Wiggins dropped by, to see what we were chatting about in the 12 October H&I post where Ry linked to Opposed Systems Design.

He left this comment.

Thanks much for the link.

I was being a bit harsh, so let me clarify myself.

Mathematical laws of chemistry describe immutable dynamics of the physical world. I question whether combat has any similar immutable dynamics that are waiting to be mathematically modeled. The difference lies in the thinking adversary inherent in war, as opposed to the stable relationships of chemistry.

Maybe the mathematics of dynamical systems offers a way to account for this - I think this is why chaos and complexity theory get folks so excited - but I haven't encountered it yet.

My second post didn't claim Lanchester wasn't useful; it argued that it was being used in situations where it wasn't appropriate. The question wasn't 'is Lanchester useful,' it was how often is it useful and in what cases? I was voicing my concern that Lanchester is rarely useful and sometimes used inappropriately. Not because it helps, but
because it's something concrete we can work with.

... of course it would have helped my argument if I had, I dunno, had an actual example to back that up...

I started to answer in email, then decided - "Hey! I've not done a geeky wargaming post for a while! No time like the present..."

I was voicing my concern that Lanchester is rarely useful and sometimes used inappropriately. Not because it helps, but because it's something concrete we can work with.

... of course it would have helped my argument if I had, I dunno, had an actual example to back that up...

I can help, and give you an example.

I didn't weigh in too much on this discussion, as it cuts to the heart of what I do for a living, and there are issues of classification, employment, and intellectual property rights that make me stand mostly mute.

But I will say that Lanchester can be useful, at it's most macro and most micro levels, when you are comparing forces which can be generally assumed to be at parity on the issues in contention. Oddly enough, that's pretty much all that Lanchester was proposing.

Such as modeling force-on-force from a hardware perspective, to examine the effects of the hardware. It can also be useful for examining organizational structure and doctrine - again, essentially positing a peer opponent. If your hardware wins, and your doctrine wins, and your hardware *and* doctrine wins in a Lanchester world, you are going to probably fare well, within the confines of entropic events and effects.

Of course, that's a very narrow set of bounds. And the consequences of bad assumptions about parity (and *your* basic competence and morale) are huge.

So, when the Army designed it's first sims for that kind of thing, it used Lanchester because we were assuming that at most levels, the Soviets, from a morale and basic professionalism level, were peers. So, we wanted to know if our tanks, tied to our doctrine, would prevail on the North German Plain (i.e., Fulda Gap). And if they didn't, what tweaks or wholesale changes would make a difference? And that sort of thing was generally confined to analytical work on those levels. Examples are VIC at the macro level, and Janus at the micro.

Of course, problems surfaced. Trainers wanted sims too. And if you've ever sat down at a Janus workstation, it looks (especially back in the day) pretty clunky, and the graphics are nothing to write home about, but it sucks you in almost immediately, if you're a trainer or wargamer.

I was in on the leading wave (heck, I helped lead it, at my level) on integrating those sims into training.

And, of course, one of the first things we did was try to build scenarios of historic battles. And found you had to tweak the crap out of things (something that board game designers like Dunnigan and crowd have know for decades) to generate historical outcomes. Not only because two regiments of muskets is *not* the same thing as Chamberlain's 20th Maine and Oate's 15th Alabama, but the digital terrain is not the same as the historic terrain. The man matters, and terrain representation is critical.

It's *not* when you're trying to compare tank vs tank, doctrine vs doctrine, on common terrain (the digital battlefield).

Danger, Will Robinson! Danger!

So Wiggins is correct - you have to understand your tool. One of the things I did as the Chief of a simcenter was sell my facility as a C2 trainer. Because you can use a Lanchester sim to drive training where the focus of training is the military decision making process. But quickly, commanders seized on it as a wargaming tool for things like NTC rotations, and it was a never-ending fight to get them to understand that the digital terrain does not exactly match the NTC dirt, and micro environment matters in fights at that level. That a plan that works in sim at Fort Sill, or Fort Hood, or Fort Riley, isn't guaranteed to work at Fort Irwin, on the real dirt, against the real OPFOR. But that the practice of your staff planning processes would pay off. You'd still need to make your plan based on the actual ground when you got there.

I promised an example of using Lanchester inaptly.

Desert Storm. Remember the predictions of 10K casualties? Say hello to my little friend, Janus. The modeled Iraqi Army was using soviet-derived equipment, with a modified 1950's British doctrine, fighting a defense from prepared positions where they'd had time to really dig in. And they were being commanded by a competent Red force team. Against a competent Blue team. And while we won, we got hammered doing it, because Lanchester is a bloody algorithm. And it makes a huge difference, when your data for your tanks is conservative - and you can actually kill a couple hundred meters farther out than you were able to in sim (as we found out when they modeled the Battle of 73 Easting and had to tweak things to match the historical record).

If you're going to err, err on the side of caution, I say. But you have to understand the limits of your hardware, architecture, design intent, and algorithms as you make choices.

There is much work that has gone on since then in building the mission planning and rehearsal tools, and they're pretty mature and robust for naval purposes and for aviation, both of which can largely ignore the effects of micro-terrain, because the ocean is flat, and the ground is effectively flat to fast movers and many helo missions, and is platform-based, which is much easier to model from an AI perspective.

Ground combat, with micro terrain and micro people, is still an on-going and evolving challenge.

And when you try to model the Current Operating Environment, boy-o-boy is Lanchester not your friend. But it was never meant to be, either.

So yes, I agree with Wiggins - people with the best of intentions, especially under a "I have to have it now" imperative, can badly mis-use Lanchester-based models, to their grief.

Okay, time to put this to bed and head for the BDE TOC. Have fun chewing on this, I probably won't be able to respond to anything until tonight.

Reporting As Ordered, Sir! �

by John on Oct 15, 2007 | Observations on things Military

Things that make the frustrating moments worth it.

And this is going to be a month of frustration, with the slow access and long hours cramping my style, I assure you! But, that's the way it's goina be until I figure out a way to make this blog pay as much as being a Beltway Bandit (Midwestern Edition)!

From the email bag:

Sir,

I am currently at my folk's house for a few days and I just wanted to send you a private note thanking you. I am a rather recently commissioned 11A who will be deploying soon to the Box for a 2nd time. The 1st time was during the march up back in '03 when I was an E-3 11B with the 3-7 Cav. I left college in December of '01, halfway through my sophomore year, because I wanted to go to the 'Stan and fight those who attacked us on their turf. I left the Army after my enlistment was up and returned home to civilian life and to finish school.

My dad, who is so gifted with foresight, that my brothers and I call him "Elrond", told me back then that he thought I had done enough and that he had a feeling that the war would be waiting after I finished my degree. I have to tell you, having my dad say that he thought I "Had done enough" is like praise from Caesar. My dad was medically retired from the Army as an O-3(P) back in '71 after he was shot in the hip and leg by some AK-47 wielding NVA
(who had about 2 seconds to live after he fired, my Dad's Top lit that NVA up). He was on his third tour and was on one hand happy about his likely upcoming promotion and on the other dreading it. It ended up being a moot point. You were a Major, so I think you can relate on both the pros and cons.

So, being brainwashed by the Bushhitlerhalibutron types, poor deluded victim me actually wanted to go back to the Army and I was commissioned thru ROTC and I will be going back as a platoon leader instead of a PFC. The amount of sheer idiocy, ignorance and laziness present on a college campus is staggering. I must say, I thought my head was going to explode on more than one occasion from being in such close proximity to those dolts on a daily basis.

Well, enough about me and my Dad. I just wanted you to know that we really like your site and appreciate the effort you and the others put into it. Dad says he knew a bunch of Tuttle types back in 'Nam and to this day he still appreciates them. He loves the TINS stuff, as do I. By the way, he found your little corner of the web back on a July 1st, a year or two ago when he was looking for articles to pass on to me about my favorite Civil War General, John Buford. If I remember right, you titled it "General Buford has his day." I was glad to see it, he is a rather obscure and forgotten man who did his country a great service. My dad and I have been regular readers ever since.

Sincerely,

Mike

Yeah, that was worth another couple of months.

Maybe more, if LT Mike sends us OPSEC-free dispatches. It's been a while since we've had a Correspondent (literally) in Iraq.

I know it said private note - but I did a little tweaking and sterilizing to protect the innocent.

Because 'Muricans need to know there are families like that one, with multigenerational service, and still serving, even if *my* family has taken a break after three generations and a combined 3 wars, 52 years, and (in one generation-Dad!) 7 Purple Hearts. BTW, because I know you want to know, I believe the record for Purple Hearts is 8. But not all 'Hearts are created equal. The national cemeteries are full of wartime-dated headstones where the occupant has only one Purple Heart, those are the ones that mean the most.

Reporting As Ordered, Sir! �

by John on Oct 15, 2007 | Shameless Self-Promotion

October 14, 2007

H&I* Fires 14 OCT 2007

Open post for those with something to share, updated through the day. New, complete posts come in below this one. Note: If trackbacking, please acknowledge this post in your post. That's only polite.

You're advertising here, we should get an ad at your place...

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Buddy Dan of tdaxp is doing another OODA loop theory bit which might become part of his Ph.D. thesis. Dan usually does stuff that at least makes you think, even if he’s got this strange predilection for college football.

I do recommend his previous works on the issue as well.
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Continuing the religion and inserting foot into mouth disease series comes this story about complaints of the Empire State building. Look if they do stuff for Christmas and Hanukkah they more or less have to for Ramadan as well. Otherwise, well, they’re open to lawsuits for discrimination. Sorry, but I don’t buy the Islam=terrorism equation. All Islamic terrorists are Moslem, but not all Moslems are Islamic terrorists.
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We do like gun right stories around here. Yes indeed we do. A little lady out in Oregon is fighting ‘city hall’ on the subject of her being able to carry. Good for her.
--ry
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George Will has an *excellent* piece today on indoctrination in higher education. Here's the opening graf to whet your appetite:

WASHINGTON -- In 1943, the Supreme Court, affirming the right of Jehovah's Witnesses children to refuse to pledge allegiance to the U.S. flag in schools, declared: "No official, high or petty, can prescribe what shall be orthodox in politics, nationalism, religion or other matters of opinion, or force citizens to confess by word or act their faith therein." Today that principle is routinely traduced, coast to coast, by officials who are petty in several senses.

Now go on, read. -the Armorer

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The Wall Street Journal has some suggestions for next year's Nobel Peace Prize candidates. Hmmm. Prolly not going to win. They aren't well received/known in the salons of the solons. -the Armorer

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Gad, sophisticated anti-coalition info op - or simply the utterly predictable reality of paying ransoms? I dunno, but it works both ways, and either one sux. H/t, Kevin. -the Armorer

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The Imp of the Perverse wonders why the House is doing this now? Because the word out of Iraq doesn't match the leadership's wants and needs, so they want to give General Petraeus something to distract him from what his forces are doing in Iraq? Probably not. So,they're just... really really obtuse? Stirring the fires in that region is useful exactly how? Please - someone enlighten me. -the Armorer

Update: I see that Ralph Peters went where I went, too. I hope we're wrong, and they're just bleeping obtuse, and not this venal. -the Armorer


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Aieeeeee! Sometimes you really *don't* want to know what is in that concoction the Doc is giving you. Warning - high ick factor in that link. This makes sense, in a creepy way, but gad, the creepy factor is really up there. -the Armorer

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Yo, John! If Peters' assumption is right about the Armenian Genocide Resolution, I'd like Nancy Boyda's position. Give her a shout. I'll wait... -Instapilot

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I did. Before I posted. -the Armorer

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Flash Traffic (extended entry) Follows... �

Reporting As Ordered, Sir! �

by Denizens on Oct 14, 2007 | General Commentary

I challenge the Senators involved...

...to match the high bid. *Each of them.*

Then we'd see some support of the troops and law enforcers with the most important indicator of personal support - their own money, instead of just bloviating about their support of the troops... with my money. And yours. And you too - over there, yeah, you, over there in Pie Town, NM. I mean you - well, your money. Not to mention the closet liberal in Ann Arbor who reads this place because he was searching for pr0n, found Gun Pr0n and keeps coming back for more, even while his wife makes him write checks to the Brady Bunch.

How do you know you live in the post-industrial age? When the Senate had (and took) the time, theres a venue, and someone has the money, and you're reading about it here, there and everywhere...: For this.

Snerk.

I could get the money to bid on it at this time, but I *don't* have the cojones to ask SWWBO to do so. Because if I was gonna do that, I'd send it where most of my troop support money goes... Project Valour-IT.

That's not a slam on the Marine Corps - Law Enforcement Foundation, it just means this is The Castle, and that's our shtick - every warrior, every service, every day. Whether we like the mission they've been sent to do or not. Yeah, we'll snark the AF, Navy, and Marines, but hey, that's what families do, right?

Reporting As Ordered, Sir! �

by John on Oct 14, 2007 | TrackBack (0) | Politicians Hit Bottom, Dig...