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        <title>Comments for H&amp;I* Fires, 29 MAR 2007</title>
        <description>We&apos;re the Military and Airpower Guys of Jonah Goldberg of National Review Online + a stray we found wandering around looking lost.  All original material JHD, BHD, JR, WT,  and KA 2003-2007</description>
        <link>http://www.thedonovan.com/archives/2007/03/hi_fires_29_mar.html</link>
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            <title>H&amp;I* Fires, 29 MAR 2007</title>
            <description>Open post for those with something to share, updated through the day. New, complete posts come in below this one. Note: If trackbacking, please acknowledge this post in your post. That&apos;s only polite. You&apos;re advertising here, we should get an ad at your place... ********************************* Boudi&apos;s Bro strikes again: An astronaut crew crash lands on a planet in the distant future where the French are the dominant &quot;species&quot;, and other humans are the oppressed and enslaved, and forced to eat nothing but food wrapped in thin pancakes. I&apos;m calling it, PLANET OF THE CREPES. Sigh. I probably shouldn&apos;t encourage this...</description>
            <link>http://www.thedonovan.com/archives/2007/03/hi_fires_29_mar.html</link>
            <guid>http://www.thedonovan.com/archives/2007/03/hi_fires_29_mar.html</guid>
            <pubDate>Thu, 29 Mar 2007 23:36:20 -0600</pubDate>
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            <title>Comment from kat-missouri on 2007-03-30</title>
            <description>
                First, as I noted, the Iranians have to come up with enough money to build the pipe lines and factories to take advantage of this Chinese deal.  Second, it won&apos;t even start to come on line, much less make profit, for another 10 years.  I also don&apos;t believe the Chinese give a darn about who is in charge of Iran as long as they get the oil.  I also believe that the fleet they are building is for hegemony, but I also believe it is more to defend the actual devices (like the oil and gas pipes) and shipping lanes.  I believe they would find those more important (knowing that we would not destroy Iran&apos;s oil capacity if we can avoid it) they only care that it keeps pumping.  

Third, Pakistan and Afghanistan are way different than Iran.  To my knowledge, neither of these countries have sanctions against them that prevent investment.  Nor are they suffering severe credit issues that prevent them from purchasing basic goods for survival.

Fourth, while the economy is &quot;Islamic&quot; in both Pakistan and Afghanistan, the extent to which the government controls the economy is much different.

For instance, while many Pakistanis are employed by the Pakistan government and they are estimated to have very high unemployment, the figures do not reflect on the economy as much because those &quot;unemployed&quot; are more often than not &quot;employed&quot; in some sort of family trade directly related to the agraculture, animal husbandry or some other traditional employment with a large part of their economy based on traiditonal barter systems.  

That&apos;s because the Pakistani economy is not as &quot;industrialized&quot; as the Iranian economy.  

While a Pakistani&apos;s existence may seem &quot;mean&quot; to us and the tribal associations anacronyms to modern society, it has sustained them for centuries and it keeps the tribes independent from the government, thus independent from it&apos;s economic woes.  

The Iranians, on the otherhand, are much more industrialized.  Many more of their people are employed in government operated businesses and industries.  In fact, if I could find the article again, WP 3/25, another chief complaint is one of typically industrialized nations: they are losing their agriculture base and damaging another cornerstone of the Islamic Revolution, self sufficiency.

thus, the fate of the people are more closely tied to the official economy of the state.  If the state economy fails then the people are set adrift without money or goods and the traditional methods of bartering are lost or broken due to the broken family or tribal connection caused by the migration of industrialization.

Or, more importantly, if the people feel the state economy is failing them then, as our forefathers wrote so precipitously in the Declaration of Independence, governments are not set aside lightly and people will put up with many things, but there comes a time when tyranny (tied with hunger and death) becomes unbearable.


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            <link>http://www.thedonovan.com/archives/2007/03/hi_fires_29_mar.html#comment-58473</link>
            <guid>http://www.thedonovan.com/archives/2007/03/hi_fires_29_mar.html#comment-58473</guid>
            <pubDate>Fri, 30 Mar 2007 12:36:07 -0600</pubDate>
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            <title>Comment from ry on 2007-03-30</title>
            <description>
                <![CDATA[ACtually I'm saying that I don't think they'll collapse from within under economic pressure at all--unless it happens real soon-- because there's economic relief on the way in two huge energy markets opening up(PRC and IN) that'll do just about anything to keep their economies firing on all cylinders.  Even though they're experimenting with pebble bed nuclear reactors China has a serious energy problem(their coal mines, and they're real reliant on coal, are petering out, so to speak).  They're and they will continue to back nasty regimes just to keep the lights on---which in part explains their recent naval build up, sorta.  

Yeah, they've(Iran) got problems on the logistics end.  Though they've been able to find enough parts on the black market to keep 60% or so of the F-14s flying, but not with the BVR missile capability(though there was some talk and photos of one with an old HAWK missile slung under a 'Cat about 6 months ago, and they were able to do some alterations to an F-5, gave it an F-18 like twin vert stabilizer arangement instead of the giant dorsal fin the Freedom Fighter orginally had).  But that's a military thing.  That means that they can't bully neighbors since they can't sustain operations.  But that hasn't stopped them from producing missiles indigenously, which they're decent at(the ShahabX).  And let's not forget how comitted their version of the <a href="http://www.globalsecurity.org/intell/world/iran/qods.htm" rel="nofollow">SS</a> is comitted to guerilla warfare.  

And I've been saying for at least 2 years that the 'El Dorado Canyon' option was about all we have with them.  It'll hurt.  It'll hurt lots.  But that could work wonders(the pro-Western kids rise up and topple the IRGC) or backfire(everyone experiences a moment of national solidarity---even though many Persians aren't happy with the Mullahs, and neither are many of te ethnic or religious minorities).  

I really think you're under-valuing how bad China wants energy.  They're playing in parts of N. Africa where their workers are kidnapped by local terrorists, monthly.  Making that gas plant fall down go BOOM gives them one more oppurtunity to capitalize on Western disaffection in building themselves a nice little coalition off of economic development that China's been doing all over the world lately(like Sudan as an example).

I agree that it's over the sanctions.  But I also think it's Iran showing that they're the France of the ME by being able to deny anyone else supremacy(France has a history of playing spoiler in COntinental affairs, pre-20th century). I don't think they're going to collapse.  Afghanistan and Pakistan have similar economic problems and aren't 'on the verge'.  

This is waaaay complicated as there's lots of different 'english' on this ball.  ]]>
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            <link>http://www.thedonovan.com/archives/2007/03/hi_fires_29_mar.html#comment-58462</link>
            <guid>http://www.thedonovan.com/archives/2007/03/hi_fires_29_mar.html#comment-58462</guid>
            <pubDate>Fri, 30 Mar 2007 07:26:35 -0600</pubDate>
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            <title>Comment from Justthisguy on 2007-03-30</title>
            <description>
                An astronaut crew crash-lands on a planet in the distant future where retired superheroes are the dominant species, and other humans are humiliated just by their consciousness that they&apos;ll never be as good at anything as even the old, retired Superfolk.

I call it, Planet of the CAPES!
            </description>
            <link>http://www.thedonovan.com/archives/2007/03/hi_fires_29_mar.html#comment-58461</link>
            <guid>http://www.thedonovan.com/archives/2007/03/hi_fires_29_mar.html#comment-58461</guid>
            <pubDate>Fri, 30 Mar 2007 06:16:55 -0600</pubDate>
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            <title>Comment from BillT on 2007-03-29</title>
            <description>
                <![CDATA[<em>Low Altitude Parachute Extinction System</em>

Another fan of the <em>Airdrop Mishaps</em> clip!

<a href="http://www.steelsoldiers.com/index.php?module=pagesetter&tid=4" rel="nofollow"><strong>Good stuff!</strong></a>]]>
            </description>
            <link>http://www.thedonovan.com/archives/2007/03/hi_fires_29_mar.html#comment-58458</link>
            <guid>http://www.thedonovan.com/archives/2007/03/hi_fires_29_mar.html#comment-58458</guid>
            <pubDate>Thu, 29 Mar 2007 17:41:36 -0600</pubDate>
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            <title>Comment from J.M. Heinrichs on 2007-03-29</title>
            <description>
                Low Altitude Parachute Extinction System


            </description>
            <link>http://www.thedonovan.com/archives/2007/03/hi_fires_29_mar.html#comment-58456</link>
            <guid>http://www.thedonovan.com/archives/2007/03/hi_fires_29_mar.html#comment-58456</guid>
            <pubDate>Thu, 29 Mar 2007 17:08:57 -0600</pubDate>
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            <title>Comment from kat-missouri on 2007-03-29</title>
            <description>
                I wasn&apos;t dissing you.  My contention is, we won&apos;t need physical war if Iran maintains it&apos;s current economic crisis.  

Ry thinks I&apos;m off a few decades to their collapse, but I&apos;d say they are cash strapped right now for various reasons.  In fact, it is Iran that cannot sustain a war with us.

While they may have some nifty gas reserves somewhere, they only have one gas refinery and no friends who seem like they are going to help them out if that one refinery goes *BOOM*.

They couldn&apos;t sustain carp. On top of that, I&apos;ve been reading of numerous problems keeping military equipment repaired and flying (for isntance).   Further, we wouldn&apos;t have to go in to Iran.  I&apos;d be all for standing off with big ol&apos; airplanes and bombing any infrastructure or government works in to the ground.

Then I&apos;d tell them that anything that moved towards the borders of Afghanistan, Iraq or any place else would be considered hostile, even if it looked like a small band of civilians.

But, in the meantime, I&apos;ll settle for a boatload of cheap American goods on the Iranian black market, bought and sold with only American dollars.  Crash the Iranian Rial and stand back as the rats try to leave the sinking ship and the rest of ther rats started gnawing on their own.
            </description>
            <link>http://www.thedonovan.com/archives/2007/03/hi_fires_29_mar.html#comment-58455</link>
            <guid>http://www.thedonovan.com/archives/2007/03/hi_fires_29_mar.html#comment-58455</guid>
            <pubDate>Thu, 29 Mar 2007 17:02:53 -0600</pubDate>
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            <title>Comment from BloodSpite on 2007-03-29</title>
            <description>
                <![CDATA[<i>All this talk about "GPS" and borders is BS. </i>

Hey! No need to get personal! :) Kidding aside, I agree.

My only contention with a war with Iran is we are stretched very thin. Scary thin. If the British start the ball rolling I would be <i>extremely</i> surprised if we did not follow suit with them. We have in almost everything short of the Falkland Islands in the last 20 years.

Beyond that, honestly? I'm all for it.

I just can see someone deciding to try to kick our feet out from under us while we're stretched out over 3/4ths of the globe]]>
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            <link>http://www.thedonovan.com/archives/2007/03/hi_fires_29_mar.html#comment-58454</link>
            <guid>http://www.thedonovan.com/archives/2007/03/hi_fires_29_mar.html#comment-58454</guid>
            <pubDate>Thu, 29 Mar 2007 16:49:09 -0600</pubDate>
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            <title>Comment from BillT on 2007-03-29</title>
            <description>
                <![CDATA[<em>...and they make them sit *sideways* in nasty red-strapped garden chairs (but less comfortable) anchored to the vomit-slicked floor, baking in the heat.</em>

Oh, the *sob* hu<em>man</em>ity...

]]>
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            <link>http://www.thedonovan.com/archives/2007/03/hi_fires_29_mar.html#comment-58453</link>
            <guid>http://www.thedonovan.com/archives/2007/03/hi_fires_29_mar.html#comment-58453</guid>
            <pubDate>Thu, 29 Mar 2007 16:46:44 -0600</pubDate>
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            <title>Comment from kat-missouri on 2007-03-29</title>
            <description>
                Please, they took the Brits the same reason they took them the last time: ransom in the form of financial concessions ie, not enforcing penalties on banks like HSBC for doing business with them, particularly the IRGC.  The IRGC captured the Brits.  The IRGC owns mega businesses and runs contract services in Iran.

How are the IRGC going to do that if they can&apos;t get money in or out of the banks?  If they have no credit to draw on to pay their employees and soldiers?

The IRGC is p/o&apos;d, but so are the Mullahs and almond head.

All this talk about &quot;GPS&quot; and borders is BS.  The brits have probably run a hundred ops there and never had a problem.

The real tells are Almondhead promising to retaliate if sanctions were passed a few weeks ago.  This is the weak mans version of &quot;pre-emptive&quot; war.  They needed a bargaining chip to survive.  From my point of view, that might not be long at all.
            </description>
            <link>http://www.thedonovan.com/archives/2007/03/hi_fires_29_mar.html#comment-58452</link>
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            <pubDate>Thu, 29 Mar 2007 16:35:33 -0600</pubDate>
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            <title>Comment from BloodSpite on 2007-03-29</title>
            <description>
                <![CDATA[Anyone noticed that Iran and Britain seem to be in a "Whose GPS is better?" match currently?

I found it interesting that you couldn't actually <i>read</i> the coordinates in the Iran interview, however the British showed theirs out right.

Thats not a statement to insinuate their hiding something, just found it interesting.]]>
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            <link>http://www.thedonovan.com/archives/2007/03/hi_fires_29_mar.html#comment-58451</link>
            <guid>http://www.thedonovan.com/archives/2007/03/hi_fires_29_mar.html#comment-58451</guid>
            <pubDate>Thu, 29 Mar 2007 16:25:48 -0600</pubDate>
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            <title>Comment from John of Argghhh! on 2007-03-29</title>
            <description>
                ...and they make them sit *sideways* in nasty red-strapped garden chairs (but less comfortable) anchored to the vomit-slicked floor, baking in the heat.
            </description>
            <link>http://www.thedonovan.com/archives/2007/03/hi_fires_29_mar.html#comment-58450</link>
            <guid>http://www.thedonovan.com/archives/2007/03/hi_fires_29_mar.html#comment-58450</guid>
            <pubDate>Thu, 29 Mar 2007 16:17:42 -0600</pubDate>
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            <title>Comment from BillT on 2007-03-29</title>
            <description>
                <![CDATA[Speaking of taxiing -- uhhh -- taxing humor:
<blockquote>
"An astronaut crew crash lands on a planet in the distant future where (through some obscene, nauseating and abhorrent twist of evolution) C-130 loadmasters are the dominant "species", and other humans are the oppressed and enslaved, forced to don parachutes, then strapped into Herky-Bird cargo bays and yanked into thin air during fixed-wing nap-of-the-runway exercises.
I'm calling it, Planet of the LAPES"...
</blockquote>
Those Who Know, Know.

For all the rest, there's google.

]]>
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            <link>http://www.thedonovan.com/archives/2007/03/hi_fires_29_mar.html#comment-58449</link>
            <guid>http://www.thedonovan.com/archives/2007/03/hi_fires_29_mar.html#comment-58449</guid>
            <pubDate>Thu, 29 Mar 2007 15:58:56 -0600</pubDate>
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            <title>Comment from ry on 2007-03-29</title>
            <description>
                Back off man, I&apos;m a scientist.  
            </description>
            <link>http://www.thedonovan.com/archives/2007/03/hi_fires_29_mar.html#comment-58448</link>
            <guid>http://www.thedonovan.com/archives/2007/03/hi_fires_29_mar.html#comment-58448</guid>
            <pubDate>Thu, 29 Mar 2007 14:59:00 -0600</pubDate>
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            <title>Comment from Oldloadr on 2007-03-29</title>
            <description>
                <![CDATA[BillT - Check <a href="http://www.snopes.com/business/genius/spacepen.asp" rel="nofollow">this</a> out and send to your friend with the "taxing" sense of humor.
]]>
            </description>
            <link>http://www.thedonovan.com/archives/2007/03/hi_fires_29_mar.html#comment-58447</link>
            <guid>http://www.thedonovan.com/archives/2007/03/hi_fires_29_mar.html#comment-58447</guid>
            <pubDate>Thu, 29 Mar 2007 14:39:56 -0600</pubDate>
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            <title>Comment from Gwedd on 2007-03-29</title>
            <description>
                Comrades,

&quot;An astronaut crew crash lands on a planet in the distant future where Richard Nixon clones are the dominant &quot;species&quot;, and other humans are the oppressed and enslaved, and forced to listen to constantly looped recordings of his speechs, rants, and blusterings.

I&apos;m calling it, PLANET OF THE TAPES&quot;

     Respects,


            </description>
            <link>http://www.thedonovan.com/archives/2007/03/hi_fires_29_mar.html#comment-58446</link>
            <guid>http://www.thedonovan.com/archives/2007/03/hi_fires_29_mar.html#comment-58446</guid>
            <pubDate>Thu, 29 Mar 2007 14:04:38 -0600</pubDate>
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            <title>Comment from bad cat robot on 2007-03-29</title>
            <description>
                that pencil meme irritates me.  As would the pencil fragments that would float around in zero-g.  You don&apos;t want stuff that leaves dust, dirt, grit, bits of graphite and so on after you use it in that kind of environment.  Didn&apos;t they just have a Floating Wasabi incident in the space station? 
            </description>
            <link>http://www.thedonovan.com/archives/2007/03/hi_fires_29_mar.html#comment-58445</link>
            <guid>http://www.thedonovan.com/archives/2007/03/hi_fires_29_mar.html#comment-58445</guid>
            <pubDate>Thu, 29 Mar 2007 13:23:26 -0600</pubDate>
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            <title>Comment from Oldloadr on 2007-03-29</title>
            <description>
                I pick Planet of the Grapes, but of course you all prolly figured that... 
            </description>
            <link>http://www.thedonovan.com/archives/2007/03/hi_fires_29_mar.html#comment-58444</link>
            <guid>http://www.thedonovan.com/archives/2007/03/hi_fires_29_mar.html#comment-58444</guid>
            <pubDate>Thu, 29 Mar 2007 13:12:11 -0600</pubDate>
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            <title>Comment from John of Argghhh! on 2007-03-29</title>
            <description>
                In the words of Dr. Venkman, &quot;Now I have to kill you all...&quot;
            </description>
            <link>http://www.thedonovan.com/archives/2007/03/hi_fires_29_mar.html#comment-58443</link>
            <guid>http://www.thedonovan.com/archives/2007/03/hi_fires_29_mar.html#comment-58443</guid>
            <pubDate>Thu, 29 Mar 2007 12:53:07 -0600</pubDate>
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            <title>Comment from NevadaDailySteve on 2007-03-29</title>
            <description>
                <![CDATA[<blockquote>"An astronaut crew crash lands on a planet in the distant future where vintners are the dominant "species", and other humans are the oppressed and enslaved, and forced to drink nothing but fermented "fruit of the vine".

I'm calling it, PLANET OF THE GRAPES"

</blockquote>]]>
            </description>
            <link>http://www.thedonovan.com/archives/2007/03/hi_fires_29_mar.html#comment-58442</link>
            <guid>http://www.thedonovan.com/archives/2007/03/hi_fires_29_mar.html#comment-58442</guid>
            <pubDate>Thu, 29 Mar 2007 12:41:40 -0600</pubDate>
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            <title>Comment from BillT on 2007-03-29</title>
            <description>
                <![CDATA[In keeping with the Artsy-Crafty thingy --

<blockquote>An astronaut crew crash lands on a planet in the distant future where interior decorators are the dominant "species" and other humans are the oppressed and enslaved, and forced to spend endless hours examining material samples and comparing color swatches. 
I'm calling it, PLANET OF THE DRAPES.</blockquote>

All. Day. Long.

]]>
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            <link>http://www.thedonovan.com/archives/2007/03/hi_fires_29_mar.html#comment-58441</link>
            <guid>http://www.thedonovan.com/archives/2007/03/hi_fires_29_mar.html#comment-58441</guid>
            <pubDate>Thu, 29 Mar 2007 11:00:49 -0600</pubDate>
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            <title>Comment from BillT on 2007-03-29</title>
            <description>
                <![CDATA[<em>Racist? How do you do that math in this context?</em>

Realizing (but -- horrors! -- *not* condoning) the current attitude of most of the citizens of the British Isles these days, the chairman of the English Democrats is prolly thinking the poo will all descend on those most British of bastions -- the madrassas...  ]]>
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            <link>http://www.thedonovan.com/archives/2007/03/hi_fires_29_mar.html#comment-58440</link>
            <guid>http://www.thedonovan.com/archives/2007/03/hi_fires_29_mar.html#comment-58440</guid>
            <pubDate>Thu, 29 Mar 2007 10:12:52 -0600</pubDate>
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            <title>Comment from BillT on 2007-03-29</title>
            <description>
                Should have realized it was sci-fi when you read &quot;a planet&quot; -- that would automatically imply they left France voluntarily.

Never include Bretons and Normans with &quot;the French&quot;...

*grinnnn*


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            <link>http://www.thedonovan.com/archives/2007/03/hi_fires_29_mar.html#comment-58435</link>
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            <pubDate>Thu, 29 Mar 2007 09:23:39 -0600</pubDate>
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            <title>Comment from BloodSpite on 2007-03-29</title>
            <description>
                Remember Armorer, 

This is the same group who labeled a 12 year old girl racist because her teacher assigned her to a group of Asians who didn&apos;t speak any English.....and she asked her teacher if she could change work groups because she didn&apos;t understand anything they said.

And people complain about America.....
            </description>
            <link>http://www.thedonovan.com/archives/2007/03/hi_fires_29_mar.html#comment-58432</link>
            <guid>http://www.thedonovan.com/archives/2007/03/hi_fires_29_mar.html#comment-58432</guid>
            <pubDate>Thu, 29 Mar 2007 09:15:56 -0600</pubDate>
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            <title>Comment from Oldloadr on 2007-03-29</title>
            <description>
                <![CDATA[The scariest thing you've ever posted: <blockquote>a planet in the distant future where the French are the dominant "species"</blockquote>  
Of course, when I read on to find that other humans had been subjegated by Frenchies, I realized it was a fantasy...]]>
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            <link>http://www.thedonovan.com/archives/2007/03/hi_fires_29_mar.html#comment-58430</link>
            <guid>http://www.thedonovan.com/archives/2007/03/hi_fires_29_mar.html#comment-58430</guid>
            <pubDate>Thu, 29 Mar 2007 09:06:11 -0600</pubDate>
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