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The Joint Staff take on "The Long War"

Below is a link to a pdf of the Powerpoint presentation that accompanied a lecture given by Rear Admiral Bill Sullivan, the Vice Director for Strategic Plans & Policy on The Joint Staff (the J5). The venue was the Executive Lecture Forum, Radvanyi Chair in International Security Studies, Mississippi State University, entitled “Fighting the Long War--Military Strategy for the War on Terrorism”

RADM Sullivan discusses the nature of the threat, and how it differs from previous threats in the eyes of the military.

He basically posits we're in a new, but different version of the Cold War against Communism - an ideological struggle that will take decades to win, and that we need to start laying that out for the taxpayers - and why that is so. It is not a call for the expenditure of huge sums of money on the services (that's probably a different briefing, heh), in fact, the Admiral speaks to how to keep costs down, by offloading them to partners, i.e., adding other nation's taxpayers to the pool of bill payers.

Here's the summation slide (if that's hard to read, click here for a bigger version):

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The Joint Staff believes Americans will commit to a long war if...


They understand our enemy and the threat he poses to the future of America.
They understand our strategy and how long it will take to complete it.
They are confident our leaders know what they are doing.
They know we have what it takes to defeat the enemy.
Our leaders communicate our actions plainly and honestly.

Emphasis is mine, pointing out where I think this administration is having some problems in this regardThose problems are fully aided and abetted by the "Anything Bush does is BAD and MUST BE BLINDLY OPPOSED, VILLIFIED, and CONDEMNED in the HARSHEST TERMS" attitude of it's political opponents.

Which leads to my final thought.

He didn't put something in there that I would have.

The political class must share, in broad brush, a belief in the basics of the strategy.

You can argue around the margins a lot - we did in the Cold War. But, *generally* (certainly not always) the politically viable Left and Right did have a generally shared core understanding of the issues between us and the Soviets. Step aside from the political rhetoric, look at the concrete actions, in aggregate, over time. The electorate tossing the football from one side to the other periodically is probably a good thing, too. I know, I know, I'm *such* a squish.

What do you think?

The original presentation has notes pages that elaborate on things, but they don't transfer over to the pdf (if someone knows how to do that, lemme know). Download file


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President Bush plans to issue a new national security strategy today reaffirming his doctrine of pre Read More

Here is a link to a Powerpoint presentation saved by John Donovan that accompanied a lecture given by Rear Admiral Bill Sullivan, the Vice Director for Strategic Plans & Policy on The Joint Staff (the J5). The venue was the... Read More

Here is a link to a Powerpoint presentation saved by John Donovan that accompanied a lecture given by Rear Admiral Bill Sullivan, the Vice Director for Strategic Plans & Policy on The Joint Staff (the J5). The venue was the... Read More

Here is a link to a Powerpoint presentation saved by John Donovan that accompanied a lecture given by Rear Admiral Bill Sullivan, the Vice Director for Strategic Plans & Policy on The Joint Staff (the J5). The venue was the... Read More

7 Comments

Thanks for the write-up, summary, link... This will help me in my current endeavours! I hope other folks read it (the one's who matter)....
 
You might try to load the comment pages below the bookmarks before you finalize the .pdf. My "HP Director" will let me do that about 50% of the time I try it...
 
Bring on the 1000 ship Int'l Navy! On the political point---I think you're mostly correct(even though only Old Pharts can be correct). I just don't see it as being as ecumenical as you do. Kennedy was at times labeled soft on communism. 'Liberal pinko' comes from that era. Reagan democrats(or neo-cons) were down with COntainment, but there sure was a lot of tarring and feathering of one side for pushing 'engagement' and non-containment strategies.
 
Oh, and it seems the crit the current Admin is getting for cutting off mil aid and exchanges with countries in S. America over not granting US persons passes on being arrested and sent to the ICC has some merit. Cannot build these coalitions if we can't talk and train together.
 
I would have highlighted part of that first line, "he understands our enemy", etc. I think many people, including many in the old realpolitik/Westphalian establishment, do not understand this is not a conflict with that or that nation state but a problem that includes - and is aided by - many client states. Equally, I do not accept this is a war on terror anymore (as has been said elsewhere) than WWII was a war on blitzkrieg. I am more of an optimist than the Admiral, however, regarding the time it will take to change the enemy. I agree we should be thinking in terms of decades but a comparison with Imperial Japan and today's constitutional monarchy, and the overwhelming mass of Japanese pop culture, suggests extremely "traditional" and "conservative" societies can turn on a dime. In fact, today's Japan is probably more traditional, conservative and true to an authentic sense of itself than the fascist/romantic fantasy version that lead to monstrosity. I want to see a world where the Riyadh University women's studies association organizes McDonald's boycotts, fans collect the latest Egyptian anime action figures and bloggers complain about the latest over-produced boy-band out of Iran.
 
I meant to add this is fascinating stuff. Thanks for posting it!
 
Viva la Flea! What, no links to hot actresses? For shame. Good call wrt Japan. Good analogy. I just don't know if many my age will actually get it. The Japan that they've always known is the Land of the Rising Godzilla, sugary J-pop, Playstation, anime(mecha and attitude carrying samurai), and cute girls. They don't remember Hideki Tojo.
 
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