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From One to Zero.

by Sgt. Rachel A. Brune</p>

<p>February 1, 2006</p>

<p>Iraqi troops of the 1st Battalion, 3rd Brigade, 2nd Iraqi Army Division, pass in review during a transfer of authority ceremony Jan. 28 at Q-West Base Complex in northern Iraq.

Over at National Review's The Corner, John Derbyshire posted this:

FROM ONE TO ZERO [John Derbyshire]
"The only Iraqi battalion capable of fighting without U.S. support has been downgraded to a level requiring them to fight with American troops backing them up, the Pentagon said Friday. The battalion, made up of 700 to 800 Iraqi Army soldiers, has repeatedly been offered by the U.S. as an example of the growing independence of the Iraqi military. ... The battalion, according to the Pentagon, was downgraded from 'level one' to 'level two' after a recent quarterly assessment of its capabilities. 'Level one' means the battalion is able to fight on its own; 'level two' means it requires support from U.S. troops..."
Full story here. Posted at 01:11 PM

In case it's not obvious to you, or you don't follow The Corner, Derbyshire is *not* a fan of Operation Iraqi Freedom. Well, that's not right. John belongs to the "Smash and Run" school of the War on Terror, where you go in, kill people, break things, and leave a note saying "Stop what you're doing or we'll come back" and then come home and pass around the medals and get back to training for the next Punitive Expedition. He's unapologetic about it, which is fine. Such forthright honesty on the issue is refreshing, and if you accept his premise, that the problem of the Middle East has no practical external solution, his view fits neatly inside a self-defense premise - which in fact he lays out in a Corner post here.

I read the post and the way he posted it, and the article he references, as a simple form of "See, I told you so."

Me being me, as often as not disagreeing with Derb as agreeing with him, I decided to read the article and poke in the corners. Being a retired soldier and all, and having some idea of how these things work, I was looking for the whys, 'cuz I had a working hypothesis as to the backstory.

To me, applying all my biases to Derb's post, he was saying more or less, "See, I told ya it's not worth the effort. These guys can't hack it in any useful sense, without taking a lot more time than I support investing." Hey, he left it all open to interpretation and that's what I walked away with. I doubt he reads this space, so I don't expect a discussion with him on the subject, regardless.

I was looking for the 'whys' of the matter. It's one thing if it happened because of egregious battlefield failure or malfeasance. It's something else again if it is, well, self-inflicted so to speak, due to the nature of building an Army from scratch.

I found what I was looking for.

Though officials would not cite a specific reason for downgrading the unit, its readiness level has dropped in the wake of a new commander and numerous changes in the combat and support units, officials said. [emphasis mine]

The battalion is still deployed, and its status as an independent fighting force could be restored any day, Pentagon officials said. It was not clear where the battalion is operating within Iraq.

Heh. Thought so. The same thing happens in our Army when we reorganize units. In addition, you may well downgrade a unit after a change of command, from Fully Trained to Partially Trained, as the new command team settles in.

We're actually starting to implement a system, called Army Force Generation, or ARFORGEN for short, where we will cycle units deliberately into a status where they are non-deployable, during which time they will field new equipment, trainup on new doctrine, and assimilate new personnel as original personnel move on to schools, promotions, new units and assignments. In other words, we will regularize and schedule what appears to have happened to this Iraqi battalion.

A huge difference of course, is the Iraqi Army is not only engaged in a shooting war, as are we, but their training base is *also* in the middle of the war zone, too. Unlike ours. So, they get some hand-holding because they don't have the same security situation.

In the long run, history may show that Derb is correct in his view on the war. But I felt like he was taking a lazy shot downrange, and a little perspective, and context, might be in order.

In case you missed the link above - the article is here.

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44 Comments

Studies in organizational dynamics show that even the highest performing organizations take a dip in performance when leadership changes. What is more significant, and indicative of an organization's (or unit's)ilk, is how long it takes for that organization to rebound. There are so many variables of change in a combat environment that it will be hard to isolate the impact of a new commander; however, I suspect that the battalion will return to its combat readiness sooner rather than later. ML
 
I can't disagree with the 'nuke em to glass' and move on school of thought. That said, this is a normal flow of things IF you honestly and objectively evaluate any unit. The object of testing a unit (person, animal) is to measure the strengths, and detail the weaknesses. You then work (manage, train, educate, whatever) to polish the strengths and improve the weaknesses. I take this evaluation and subsequent downgrading of this unit to be an honest and correct assessment. Then you fix the problems. The alternative is to 'fudge' the criteria and declair the unit to be grade 'whatever' to fill your propaganda goals ... then suffer the consequences. I applaud the honesty and objectivity of the evaluators. I have confidence in the managers ability to correct deficits and actually build a grade one unit in reality, as opposed to 'on paper only' US units combat status typically do that roller coaster thing.
 
Now having said that, dang them boys is pretty eh? White gloves and as many badges as a boy scout troop. Kinda reminds ya of the US Army eh? I bet them red shashes were awarded for the three legged race at this year's family day.
 
I had also thought that this top level of readiness meand *complete* operational independence -- and I seem to recall that there were European units that could not meet this requirement. Anybody got the breakdown on that?
 
I seem to recall that there were European units that could not meet this requirement. Heh. Wait 'til the Army finishes its "Modularity Transformation" and I'll give odds that there will be US units that can't meet the requirement.
 
Dang. Don't let John near Bill Buckley's column on the matter from over the weekend everybody. And should we go after Derb for not liking NASA too? Can we add Derb to the list, along with beets, as things we're thinking about having a Punitive Expedition against?
 
OH by the way .... Chief Sugarbuttons your name is up in lights again. *Good Ship Lollipop* plays in the background.
 
'Bout time someone noticed. It's been that way for days...
 
I am more and more concerned that Dusty and John refer to the Chief as Sugar Buttons.
 
JoA: 'Bout time someone noticed. It's been that way for days... jb: I am more and more concerned that Dusty and John refer to the Chief as Sugar Buttons. I'm more concerned that nobody appears to have noticed, and if they did, didn't turn in a Spot Report. Looks like it's time for some remedial Observation and Reporting training. *lugging overhead slide projector and 'ritamatic towards the jungle room*
 
*We* don't. It's the Denizennes who do... Them, and the guy from NIF.
 
And this thread has been completely hijacked, too. Tell me again why I put up the H&I fires?
 
And this thread has been completely hijacked, too. Tell me again why I put up the H&I fires?
 
H&I means Hijacking and Interruption.
 
And the echo is Horkin' Interminable...
 
So it's more fun to highjack and interrupt here... however to turn the flow back to the original topic.... And now back to our regularly scheduled broadcast already in progress Chief Bill's excellent adventures in evaluating the Army of the Sand. Take it away Sugar Buttons
 
I'm more and more distressed that SugarButtons is getting so much attention from the boys. It seems to me you guys need your own Brigade name. Let's see.... Jim, you can be HoneyBuns. John... how about SweetPea? SweetPea SugarButtons HoneyBuns works for me.....
 
*grin* I finally got the SugarButtons banner to pop up. So cute... (yeah. he's gonna kill me for that someday)
 
Actually SweetPea SugarButtons HoneyBuns Are typical of the names I use on wimmins when I can't remember their names. Like the old song (hit it mystro) Letttt me callllll you Sweetheart, I forgottt yourrrrr naaaaameeeeeeeee Thank you thank you very much .... Thank you.
 
*grinning dangerously in the general direction of cincinnati* Any particular reason you made those pet names into a me sandwich, hmmmmm?
 
Eeeew! My eyes! My eyes!
 
So how bout that Iraqi Army eh? This certainly seems to be the perfect team to critique em doncha think?
 
Actually, I was thinking about changing John's name from SweetPea to LuvMuffin. LuvMuffin SugarButtons (purposely put back in the middle for the "me sammich". *grin*) HoneyBuns WOOT! WOOT!
 
Have at it, Honey Buh... Honey Buh... Hang on, I think I'm having a Brokeback Moment...
 
...purposely put back in the middle... Hmmm. Could *somebody* have hit the Tex-Mex Takeout for lunch, by any chance? Last time you were this lively, you were commando and you'd dropped the Jalepeño Special in your lap...
 
I'm always lively. I *am* a kitty, you know. *pops cinnamon Altoid in mouth to mask jalepeno breath*
 
"LuvMuffin?" Oh, definitely! *grin*
 
*evil grin* I thought you'd like that, FbL.
 
Actually, I understand the major concerns with many other Iraq units are logistical support. It seems the MOD in Iraq completely sucks at budgets, buying, scheduling and supplying. Not to mention, the concept of a "supply unit" seems almost wholely alien to the commanders who were used to scavenging and making due based on their relationships in the old military. AND there seems to be a huge problem with bribery, theft and embezzlement up and down the line. In which case, the other units at a two, I understand there were at least 10, maybe more, were largely due to bad logistics and supplies. Can't even get batteries for flashlights. But, I understood that was supposed to be worked on this year and was part of the "draw down" plan where we had fewer combat troops and more supply/logistics people training the second tier support troops. I'm sure that's going to be extremely difficult in light of the current situation.
 
1) Everyone track down a copy of 'On War'.' 2) Look up sections pertaining to 'friction' or 'entropy'. 3) Beat a reporter with book open to those sections until they get it.(Better take a dictionary along with you, just in case.) (gollum/ry retreats back under his rock).
 
On War is a good 'un, but if the local Library has already burned it, try How to Make War, from James Dunnigan (yeah, one of the strategypage-dot-com guys). Whap the MSM with Part 1 (Ground Combat), Chapter 5 (Combat Support) and all of Part 4 (Human Factors).
 
You mean, everybody doesn't just reach up to the shelf above the monitor and pull down either book?
 
Shelf above the monitor? Not I, said the fly. I don't have a shelf above my monitor, unless you're counting the boobage that hangs over the laptop keyboard, and they're not sturdy enough to store books on.
 
Not even paperbacks? Tsk. There's not enough room on the shelf over my monitor--fortunately, I liberated a GI special (a bunch of 1x12s and wood screws) before it met an ignominious end when the 50th Aviation Brigade faded into the mists of history.
 
What, and risk getting a nasty papercut on my Girls which might require medical attention? NO WAY.. oh.... now.... waitaminute.... MEDIC!!!! I NEED A MEDIC!!!!
 
'Scuse me. Pardon me. Make way, please. *unwrapping 12 square feet of bandaid and activating official insta-mash self-inflating medical tent* This way, ma'am. Just need you to fill out some forms, first. *handing zoomiesib forty pounds of sf88s and 93s* Can't start work until the weight of the paperwork equals the weight of the injured area, ya know...
 
‘John belongs to the "Smash and Run" school of the War on Terror, where you go in, kill people, break things, and leave a note saying "Stop what you're doing or we'll come back" and then come home and pass around the medals and get back to training for the next Punitive Expedition.’ Remind me again what the Iraqis were being punished for doing? WMD? 911? Looking at you funny? Whether you stick around or smash and run, it’s still attacking the wrong country.
 
Um, Owen, you need to read the link to what Derb thinks is a good approach. What *is* the right country, btw?
 
Afghanistan. That's where 911 was planned. I have read Derbyshire's comments, and I think he's just silly. He hasn't remotely thought through the consequences of what he's talking about. "Smashing and running" in Iran and Saudi Arabia would send oil way over $100 a barrel, wreck the US economy, destroy NATO, and in all probability provoke a de facto military alliance between Russia, China and the EU. He sums it up: "Rubble doesn't make trouble." Well there's a hell of a lot of rubble in Afghanistan, yet, as I said, that's where 911 came from. The Iraqi example doesn't exactly argue the peace-spreading benefits of rubble creation either.
 
I was just curious. I'm not a fan of Derb's philosophy, either. I wasn't a fan of invading Iraq, either. I'm not a fan of invading Iran, for a whole bunch of other reasons. But I do believe in finishing what you've started, even if it's something you maybe shouldn't have, hence, the way I look at Iraq. That doesn't mean you can't convince me that we can't achieve our ultimate objectives at a cost we're willing to pay and we should, at that point, pack it up and wish them the best with whatever non-resident support we can provide. But, at the same time, the whole concept of "persistance of failed ideas" permeates the whole Middle East problem. Bush tried something different. It has made a difference. And we aren't *really* going to know for a long time whether or not it did any good in the long run.
 
"I wasn't a fan of invading Iraq" I'm surprised and pleased to hear that John. As for finishing what you started, it could be argued that you have, since you went there ostensibly to disarm Iraq of WMD, and one thing we can all agree on is that Iraq definitely has no WMD. From another point of view, it could be argued that what the invasion really started was the disintegration of Iraq, and that is perhaps a job that's better left unfinished.
 
Owen, Again.. you show your ignorance of the audience you are addressing here. It's been my experience that those who have combat experience tend not to want to repeat it if possible, but do not shy away the fight once it's started. Quite a few of us were NOT in agreement over invading Iraq the second time- me being one of them. And based upon previous conversations we've had here, most of us agreed that the first Gulf War ended too soon, which lead us to the current one. If we don't finish it up right this time, we'll just be back again in another 10 years.
 
Always nice to see the comments. I learn more when I read. In this instance, I was not a fan of invading Iraw either, as I want and still want Osama's head. Not much, just the perps who killed 3500 innocent people for no other reason than hate. And yes, I agree that we are committed so we need to finish what we start. And if we can change hearts in the process, by finding more common ground than oil, then it will be worth it. And if oil goes to 100 a barrel, then the Saudis can eat their oil.
 
"Remind me again what the Iraqis were being punished for doing?" It's in the AUF, and there's a list of 46 reasons, Owen. Not just one, WMD. How about finally being able to end the sanctions regime that in ten years killed on avg. 50K elderly and children? Seems rather humanitarian in my book. Of course, if one reads the Deulfer report(he was safely in a box sans actual wmd, but had everything in place to have bc weapons the week after), and remembers the toll it took to keep Iraq in that box it doesn't seem so bad. See, I've been raised in a school of thought that says one has to figure the costs of not going and compare it to the costs of going. The costs to not go were staggering, and a nightmare as well(or are news articles about anger at the US for its sanctions against Cuba and Iraq suddenly hard to find?) in terms of IR. einseitigkeit seems to be the basis of analysis so far.
 
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