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Hey! There *is* a Strategy on Iraq!

Sez so right here!


No, I haven't read it yet. Posted as a public service...

14 Comments

I Have heard this is a strategy too, I just hope it is laid out and followed through with. One of the requirements the Bush administration has spoken of for the exit strategy, or what is now being called the victory strategy, is the stability and formation of the Iraqi army. However, many are now saying that the Iraqi army evolving is becoming as bad, if not worse, than the regimental army that supported Sadaam Hussein previously. Ayad Allawi has accused Shia Muslims in the Government of being responsible for death squads and secret torture centers. Ayad has advised that, “The brutality of elements in the new security forces rivals that of Mr. Hussein's secret police.” Many Shia officials state that justification for the so called Iraqi Army Death Squads stems from the years and years of oppression they suffered under Sadaam Hussein. I do not buy this argument; I do not think we went into Iraq to help one religious group settle a score with another religious group. If this is what is now occurring I think we really need to address our policy in Iraq. Raymond B www.voteswagon.com
 
Well, Ray, the problemm is that Iraq as a whole has been lacking a civil society where the law of the land treats every person as equal before the law. It has also lacked "good society" where people have the reasonable expectation of not being harmed by their fellow citizens, where every citizen can expect not to be targeted unduly by their government for words or actions beyond those that actually break "civil" law and disrupt "good soceity". What the Iraqis have experienced is arbitrary arrest, prosecution, creation of laws for the benefit of the powerful, to maintain power and even execution. So, it is not "ok" that the change in power has created the previously powerless into the same force, but it does explain why it exists. In order to combat this, more than disciplined security forces have to be created (some of these forces aren't necessarily created by the US or allies but are in fact products of local governments taken over by specific parties who put their militia members on the security forces). Iraq's society, civil and otherwise, has a long way to go, but is in definite need of an extreme make over. There are some entities in Iraq that are working towards this, but these entities have not yet gained the trust of constituents because people who are suffering in chaos (and who were previously persecuted), have a tendency to turn to the "evil they know" which unfortunatley includes the few organized parties that were, in some way, in place during Saddam's reign and were organized in such a manner that allowed them to provide some help and give the illusion of leadership, before and after the collapse of Saddam. So, for this to go away, we need more than to work on security forces. A real concept of checks and balances has to be created and put in place. Concepts of equal justice and a judiciary that is independent and ready to apply these concepts has to be built through out Iraq, not just at the epicenter of central government though that central government will be the role model. This means that judges have to be ready and able to prosecute even government, police and military personnel for corruption and crime. These judges have to have reasonable expectation of their safety. It's much more complicated than simply building a security force or waving a magic wand to create the exoskeleton of a government. The thing that is missing, which we take for granted, is the concept of adherence to these ideas above all other relationships. Security forces, government workers, politicians and civilians must learn to be faithful to these ideas first, to have allegiance to the idea above and beyond political, tribal, religious or self interested affiliations. We have over 230 years of this concept and even then we struggle. It will not be born over night. As one blogger recently noted, what we will be doing in Iraq is staying in some form or other until the first generation of children have been raised up and indoctrinated into this concept of freedom, civil and "good" society.
 
Well put, kat.
 
Here Here! Very well stated, Kat!
 
Jon the Grunt response Ray, bugger off. Jon The Mechanic response Ray, the world is not perfect. The government that is being setup is a LOT better than the previous scumbag that was in power. Give them time, and they will prove that they can be on par with the rest of the civilized world and above some parts of that world.
 
We *will* be polite to Ray. He's learning the ropes around here, and we tolerate, and sometimes even encourage, well constructed, affirmative dissenting views. Otherwise, it's just an echo chamber, and we have enough problems with echoes as it is. We do not like moonbattery, but Ray is *not* being a Moonbat, however much anyone may disagree. Remember the Castle Rule: Attack the message, not the messenger. Unless it's a party thread. This isn't.
 
We *will* be polite to Ray. He's learning the ropes around here, and we tolerate, and sometimes even encourage, well constructed, affirmative dissenting views. Otherwise, it's just an echo chamber, and we have enough problems with echoes as it is. We do not like moonbattery, but Ray is *not* being a Moonbat, however much anyone may disagree with his take on things. Remember the Castle Rule: Attack the message, not the messenger. Unless it's a party thread. This isn't.
   
Must be the draughty halls up on the North Wing Must be the draughty halls up on the North Wing Well spoken K-MO!
 
Them thar old artillery dudes have *echoes* imprinted on the cerebral cortex...
 
Philosopher Kat seems to have taken a BIG swing at what Ray's put down. I'll see if I can add in a meaningful way(not easy to do when batting after Kat). I have this 20 year old book, 'World Armies(second edition)' edited by John Keegan. Printed in 1983. In it Keegan et al describe Iraq as a Byzantine place politically. Hussein and his Baathist predecessor playing political rivals against one another, playing religious sects against one another, one tribe against another, and ethnicities against each other(there's more than just Kurds as minorities in Iraq). They kept All these divisions going because it was easier to find and eliminate rivals, you see. So Iraq was a loose confederation of groups centered around subservience, and a lotta fear, around the Baath party. People didn't think of themselves as Iraqi. They were another identity group first. What does this result in? We're seeing it play out with revenge killings. As Kat has said, just building and training a security force won't do. If you listened to the speech at Annapolis today you'd have heard Bush all but declare that Iraq MUST become a unified country centered around the idea of Iraq and not their tribe, sect, city, or ethnicity. Otherwise we're repeating the same mistake the Brits made when they pushed the Arab Revolt and then went Byzantine in how it set up gov'ts there to keep trade patronage. Overcomming this factionalism isn't easy. It'll take time. But there are signs that things are changing, if ever so slowly(compromise constitution, polyglot military and police force, factions willing to vote instead of take by force to settle matters (as we're seeing the Sunnis warm to the idea of voting to protect their interests)). THe revenge killing is a symptom that not all is well. BUt it is also a sign that things are changing and for the better because we're hearing about it. The rule of law is taking hold, if ever so slowly. There's investigations into wrongdoing instead of the wrongdoing being a privelage of being a loyalist. The cure here is professionalism, and having military/leo professionals, coupled with an identity that transcends the old groups to a new and larger one. The revenge killing has already been adressed. That's what all the schools being set up to train officers and NCOs for both the police and military are about. That's what having the US/Coalition organizations train the future Iraqi trainers is meant to engender, professionalism.
 
In 1998 (three years after the Dayton Accords), Bosnia-Herzegovina was still severely factionalized, but there was reluctant official cooperation between the Serbs, the Bosniaks (Muslims), the Croats, the Bosnian Serbs, the Serbian Muslims and the Bosnian Croats. The various ethnic groups still hated each other's guts (and made no excuses for it), but everyone was pretty much sick of the killing. By 2001, the cooperation was well-established and the various factions were at least working together actively, albeit not happily. The various ethnic groups drifted from active hatred into grudging acceptance of each other's right not to be summarily shot. These days, the politicians in BiH are still squabbling, but at least they're doing it within the framework of a constitution. The various ethnic groups are now only mildly annoyed with each other and are willing to settle differences with a ballot rather than a bullet. I'd say Iraq, three years after the war, is midway between Boz's 1998-2001 progress, and the Army's even further up the road. Extrapolate from the Balkan timeline above and apply it to SWA and that should yield a fairly accurate timetable for a US withdrawal, Mr. Congressman. Ummmm, what's that? You say we've still got troops in the Balkans? Heh. Yeah, I know... *wadding timeline and tossing a 3-point sinker*
 
Sorry John, all I saw was complaining, no suggestions on how to fix it. It won't happen again. *Heads back to the shop to finish the uparmoring of the snowblower for John*
 
I appreciate your opinion Kat, and JOn I also agree with your opinion. I am sure many in here have a lot closer and better understanding of what is going on in Iraq. It seems though that here in America the debate over the war, and now the authorization of going to war, has trickled down into a he said she said nasty debate. Regardless of who said this, and who agreed to that, we are in the position we are in. This debate is supposed to be about establishing a purpose for our continued presence in Iraq and establishing a sound criterion for our victory\exit strategy. However, it now appears that some politicians have turned this into a votes grab by trying to state their opinion, and stance, on the merits of the war, and their pretense for agreeing to go to war.I know many may disagree with my opinions but I feel the open and honest discussion of this is the best way to address it. Raymond B www.voteswagon.com
 
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