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Heh. This just looks dumb to me.

Calling Murtha's bluff.

Absent a large defection of Democrats who would be unwilling to go on record at this point asking for a withdrawal, I see this as mostly a losing proposition for the GOP. If it's a party-line vote, it's meaningless in effect, and provides the Dems a propaganda victory, doesn't it?

If it's a loss, that's a disaster.

So, unless there is an unlikely number of Democrats to vote against the measure... isn't this just shooting themselves in the foot?

I dunno - but I don't see much chance of an upside for the GOP on this, and the potential to start a ball rolling they'd really rather not see moving.

And given the leadership's crappy track record at party discipline... but hey, my political ear is high-grade tin. Anybody else got some smart thoughts?

Others, smarter'n/more informed than I - blogging it:

Stop the ACLU.
La Malkin
Kit at Euphoric Reality is live blogging.
Blogs for Bush
GOP Bloggers
Don Surber
The Political Teen has video.

Update. Studiously ignoring the whole thing last night, in favor of spending the Evening with Kat of The Middle Ground (about which more later), I see that the vote on the issue was 403 - 3 Against pulling out of Iraq immediately. My Tin Ear is intact.

Heh. Even Murtha wouldn't vote for his own proposal.

Snerk.

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Via Drudge and My Way News. The Dems, railing constantly about the War in Iraq, have found themselves backed into a corner by the House Republicans, who finally tired of all the lies and rhetoric and have decided to vote regarding whether we should p... Read More

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“I nostri soldati sono sotto attacco. Non possiamo permetterci di mandare segnali ambigui”. Con queste parole, il congressman dell'Arizona, J.D. Hayworth, ha lanciato il guanto di sfida repubblicano agli avversari democratici, obbligandoli a prendere... Read More

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16 Comments

Thanks for the link! This is entertaining, if dumb. Put up or shut up time for Dems
 
Nah. I knew the moment I saw it that the Dems would run a mile rather than vote for their own proposal. And so it was, 403-3.
 
John, With all due respect, I strongly disagree that even a party-line vote would be a Democratic Party propoganda victory. Think about this; a very simple resolution asking for immediate withdrawl. Even if the Dems vote party-line, that confirms -in hard copy- that their (well...) party line is immediate and unconditional withdrawl. They will have, in fact, literally voted for for a cut'n'run during the middle of a war. First corollary: Democrats can't be trusted during a war, and where have we heard that before recently? Yes, we all know Iraq isn't Vietnam, but it will be hard to avoid drawing analogies, especially since the Dems have been the ones pushing the analogies. Simply put: this very basic, yes-or-no, ain't-no-nuance-here, can't-spin-it, up-or-down vote will put the Democratic Party on record as abandoning the Iraqi people. Given (as you say) a straight party-line vote. This would be a great political gift to the GOP on the same order as the post-Civil War line "all Democrats are rebels and traitors," or the post-WW2 line "all Democrats are soft on Communism." Mind you, I find this a not-unmixed blessing, since I prefer two healthy parties to keep everyone (relatively) honest, but -alas- the current Dem leadership seems more interested in cheap tricks than principled positions. Then again, if they were pursuing principled positions, we wouldn't be discussing this, would we, hm? On the other hand, if the Dems fink out (which I expect), they will most likely retort "we didn't want an immediate withdrawl; we wanted one as soon as practical." To which the Bush administration will reply "Fine! That's what we want, too! Glad you agree with us!" This shoots their whole approach down, since they want to advocate an immediate withdrawl without seeming to advocate an immediate withdrawl. And, yes, the GOP party discipline seems terribly absent, but fine. Let's see how many RINOs go wobbly on the war. Then the Bush administration will have a solid year to publicize that fact before next year's elections. You think the congresscritters don't know that? But hey, that's just my fifty-cents worth. :)
 
How would an opposition to the war properly express itself? Seeing as the majority of those polled think it was a mistake (whether it was or it was not) how does the discussion get held if the labelling of "cut and run" is the only response?
 
Casey - I caveat *all* my politics with "Tin Ear".
 
John: Heh! Alan: the response is simple; provide a sane, logical, and (one hopes) irrefutable argument for immediate withdrawl. Or even a phased withdrawl. Whatever. The bottom line is that the Dems don't want a rational debate on the war. They want to beat up on Bush. Besides which, if you tally up all the speeches, cut'n'run sums it up pretty well. If nothing else (from my reading), it takes roughly two years to train a new recruit, and up to ten years to fully season a good NCO. John, does that jibe with your actual experience? Bottom line: if we do this right, expect to see at least a couple of American brigades in Iraq up until 2013, until their own NCOs are up to running their army. Now compare this to what the Dems are calling for, now. They don't care about making sure the Iraqis are safe, or can defend themselves. They just want to accumulate some political capital, in the same way they tried to with the draft-bill stunt. That was stupid, too.
 
I have not seen any real discussion of withdrawal from the Dems which respects the concept that we cannot predict dates upon which the necessary environments will be obtained. We will leave when we can leave stability behind, and the biggest problem we face now is articulating that clearly.
 
Can the Republicans win in 2006 and 2008 with a plan to be in Iraq that says there will be tens of thousands of US soldiers - some being killed - there until 2013? The difference with Bosnia was there were not the losses and the opposition. If that is the plan, as Barb says, it is not the Democrats who need to get articulating - not because it will be right or wrong but it will not be politically possible without a coherent and articulate plan the electorate accepts. For example, what are the benchmarks for stability? I think that has to be expressable ro be part of the plan. [If the Reps and Dems can't have the debate there is no reason why Castle Argghh can't.]
 
1) This has become so politicized that 'real' debate cannot be had in the US. Positions have become means of scoring political points, and no longer are actual, moral positions taken. 2) Alan, if you follow the Strategy Page casualty list of the Balkans you'll find that the casualties are there. They're just not sustained by Americans/Peacekeepers(Feb this year a major uprising occured and resulted in many deaths and destruction/damage of a few famous churches). Ergo it's not talked about, but it is there, mon ami. 3) Alan, the conditions you have spoken of do exist. What they aren't is rock hard and quantitative. And I think I don't need to go into the necessity of fluidity here. A stable gov't capable of handling the security situation---that's been iterated as a withdrawl requirement. (Sorry, not sniping. Just trying to say that what the war opposers/Dems are asking for exists and can be found if they look outside of the reporting by the usual suspects.). 4) 'Withdrawl' is code for declare victory and come home, regardless of whether the political end we sought is realized or not---the whole point of this or any other war. It is 'cut and run'. Or at least 'cut'. 5) Can the reps win '06 and '08 with the above def'n strategy? Depends. Who mounts the more effective media campaing for the hearts and minds here will determine that. Seeing as how the negative side is the base-line for discussion I'd say it's not likely that the reps will maintain house and senate majorities. ANd this isn't blaming the media, thought their handling of the matter is part of INfo-War. BH Liddel-Hart has written on the matter, as well as other 'grand strategists'. I'm stealing from them and not talking out of my own butt. 6) How can people civily say they oppose the war? SImiple. Just do that. Say that they oppose the war and leave it at that. Say that they want the troops out because they opposed the war from minute one(or whatever minute they decided to be against it). No phoney baloney rationalizations. But, that's political suicide. SO it'll never happen. Ah, if only every American liberal were as honest and transparent as you, Alan. They'd almost be tolerable :). (fleeing for the safety of my rock).
 
Metrics, con't. Remember the hullaballoo over Iraqi battalion classifications? What happened to that story? Well, anyways, there's some of your metrics. They exist. Unfortunately, they also get used purely to score political points. That story DIED when people actually started to look at what the classifications meant---and the scare mongering about the reduction from 3 A battalions to 1 A battalion was unfounded(considering the level of battallions capable of functioning only with US logistical help doubled, at least). It's too politicized ALan. Here at Argghhh!, or your site, we may have frank and open discussion about the issues, but in 'Meatworld' it's different. Points matter more than truth. It's all about status, and being right gives you status the same way as having the new tech toy would. (fleeing back to my rock).
 
Good responses, ry. I do tihnk it would do a great service to have a debate on how to know when it is time to know it is over over there and I think a lot of what you wrote serves as a decent framework.
 
Okay, I'm on my way out the door, but this is too good not to comment on. SOme goober talking head just went on tv and said that the public wants Bush to do what FDR did: lay out a map and point out where the US and the Allies were doing what to the American people. I soooo want to yell el toro caca on this. Anyone able to find anything on FDR, or his administration, laying out, in somewhat detailed fashion, what we were doing in ww2 on a map? I highly doubt it exists(but that's just me).
 
replace to with for where appropriate---gawd, the 'teachers' around here are going to have a field day with me.
 
ry - But it's so much funnier the way you originally wrote it...
 
Gee couldn't I just throw 'N@zi' into the mix here and get banned from the thread to save me from the indignity? We need a ruling? Umpire!
 
Lessee... 1. I invoked Godwin's Law on the Chaplain thread, not this one. 2. I think, Ry, rather than asking me to discipline you, "Please! Stop me before I post again!" I think the following rule is the most apropo: "It is better to remain silent and be thought a fool, than to hit "post" and remove all doubt." Your future is in your hands, Ry. We're all about self-discipline around here... 8^D
 
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